Trump Warns GOP of Impeachment if They Lose 2026 Midterms

Polls and betting odds show tight race for control of Congress in upcoming elections

Published on Feb. 11, 2026

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President Donald Trump has warned Republicans that they need to win the 2026 midterm elections or he could face a third impeachment. The midterm elections are scheduled for November 3, 2026, with all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats up for grabs. Current polling and betting odds show a tight race, with the potential for a divided government if Democrats win the House while Republicans maintain control of the Senate.

Why it matters

The outcome of the 2026 midterm elections could have major implications for Trump's political future, as well as the ability of the Republican party to advance its agenda. A Democratic-controlled House would make it more difficult for Trump to pass legislation and could potentially lead to a third impeachment effort, even though it would face significant political barriers with the current Republican-controlled Senate.

The details

Trump has repeatedly emphasized the importance of the 2026 midterms, telling Fox Business that Republicans need to win in a "landslide" to avoid him getting impeached. The president was previously impeached twice during his first term, but was acquitted by the Senate both times. While there are currently no active impeachment efforts against Trump, some House resolutions have been introduced proposing a third impeachment.

  • The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
  • Trump was first impeached in 2019 over his dealings with Ukraine, and was impeached a second time at the end of his term in 2021 over accusations of inciting the Capitol attack on January 6.

The players

Donald Trump

The 45th President of the United States, who has been impeached twice but acquitted by the Senate both times.

Republican Party

The political party that currently controls both the Senate and the House of Representatives, but faces a tight race to maintain that control in the 2026 midterm elections.

Democratic Party

The political party that is seeking to gain control of at least one chamber of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections, which could make it more difficult for Trump to advance his agenda and potentially lead to a third impeachment effort.

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What they’re saying

“We have the hottest country in the world. I guess we have to sell that because we should win in a landslide and we'll do everything we can to do it.”

— Donald Trump, President (Fox Business)

“You got to win the midterms because if we don't win the midterms, it's just going to be — I mean, they'll find a reason to impeach me. I'll get impeached.”

— Donald Trump, President (House GOP retreat)

What’s next

The judge in any potential third impeachment case against Trump would need to decide whether to allow him out on bail, which could be a key factor in the proceedings.

The takeaway

The 2026 midterm elections will be a crucial test for Trump and the Republican party, with the potential outcome having significant implications for the president's political future and the ability of the GOP to advance its agenda. The tight race and possibility of a divided government highlight the high stakes and polarized nature of American politics.