Winter Storm Warning Map Shows Valentine's Day Weather Across U.S.

Northeast and Midwest face cold; South experiences heavy rain and possible flooding.

Published on Feb. 14, 2026

A large winter storm is expected to bring widespread rain, thunderstorms, and potential flooding to parts of the central and southeastern United States from Friday through Sunday, February 14-16. The Northeast and Midwest are also forecast to experience frigid and cold conditions for the Valentine's Day holiday.

Why it matters

The severe weather could disrupt Valentine's Day plans for many Americans, with the potential for flooding, power outages, and hazardous travel conditions in some regions. However, the rainfall may also help alleviate drought conditions in affected areas.

The details

According to AccuWeather, the storm system will develop over Oklahoma, Texas, Missouri, Arkansas, and Louisiana on Friday, then spread eastward through Virginia and the Carolinas by the weekend. Widespread rainfall of 1-4 inches is expected, with some areas potentially receiving up to 6 inches, which could lead to minor flooding in small streams and urban areas. Despite the flood risk, the moisture will largely be beneficial for drought-stricken regions.

  • The storm system is expected to develop late this week, from Friday, February 14 through Sunday, February 16.
  • The heaviest rainfall is forecast to occur from Friday through Monday night, February 17.

The players

AccuWeather

A leading weather forecasting and information services company.

Got photos? Submit your photos here. ›

What’s next

Weather experts will continue to monitor the storm system and provide updated forecasts and warnings as the Valentine's Day weekend approaches.

The takeaway

This winter storm serves as a reminder for Americans to check the weather forecast and plan accordingly if they have Valentine's Day celebrations or travel scheduled. While the heavy rain may cause some disruptions, it could also provide much-needed relief to drought-affected regions.