Harden, Avdija, Fox Headline NBA Player Prop Picks for Wednesday

SportsLine model's top NBA player prop bets for April 8 include James Harden, Deni Avdija, and De'Aaron Fox

Apr. 8, 2026 at 5:23pm

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A fragmented, geometric painting in bold colors depicting basketball players in motion, conveying the analytical nature of the player prop picks.The SportsLine model's top NBA player prop picks for Wednesday feature a deconstructed, Cubist-inspired visualization of the key matchups.Cleveland Today

The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated every NBA game 10,000 times and revealed its best player prop bets for Wednesday, April 8. The model is backing Cavaliers star James Harden to finish Under 33.5 total points + rebounds + assists, Trail Blazers forward Deni Avdija to go Under 40.5 total points + rebounds + assists, and Spurs guard De'Aaron Fox to go Over 20.5 points.

Why it matters

The NBA playoff race is heating up, and these player prop bets could have major implications on the standings. The model has a proven track record of success, returning well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons.

The details

Harden is averaging below his career marks in points, rebounds and assists this season, and the model sees value in him finishing Under 33.5 total points + rebounds + assists against the surging Hawks, who have allowed 108 points or fewer in each of their last four games. Avdija is also projected to go Under 40.5 total points + rebounds + assists against the Spurs, who have the No. 8 scoring defense in the NBA. Meanwhile, the model likes Fox to go Over 20.5 points with Spurs stars Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle both out.

  • Harden has gone Under this total in three of his last four games.
  • Avdija has gone Under this total in five of his last seven games.
  • Over the last four games without Wembanyama, Fox scored 22, 27, 19 and 24 points.

The players

James Harden

A 36-year-old NBA star who is averaging below his career marks in points, rebounds and assists this season for the Cavaliers.

Deni Avdija

A forward for the Trail Blazers who has gone Under his points + rebounds + assists total in five of his last seven games.

De'Aaron Fox

A guard for the Spurs who has seen his scoring increase with the absence of teammates Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle.

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What they’re saying

“De'Aaron Fox has been quiet lately, averaging only 13.4 points over his last eight games. During that stretch, he averaged just 28 minutes and 12.1 shot attempts. Expect both of those numbers to increase dramatically Wednesday with Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle both out for the Spurs.”

— Mike Barner, SportsLine NBA expert

What’s next

The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated every NBA game 10,000 times and revealed its best player prop bets for Wednesday, April 8. Bettors can check the model's full projections at SportsLine to see if there are any other profitable NBA player prop picks for the day.

The takeaway

The SportsLine model has a proven track record of success when it comes to NBA player prop bets, returning well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated picks. Bettors would be wise to follow the model's recommendations, which include fading Harden, betting Avdija Under, and backing Fox Over on Wednesday.