North Carolina Sees Voter Registration Shifts Ahead of Primaries

Independent voter registrations rise as Democrats and Republicans both lose ground

Published on Feb. 16, 2026

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North Carolina has seen a steady decline in voter registrations for both the Democratic and Republican parties in recent weeks, with the bloc of independent voter registrations growing by more than 2,000 in the past seven days. This shift comes as the state prepares for primary elections, with several former Democratic candidates running as Republicans in an effort to win GOP primaries.

Why it matters

The changes in voter registration in North Carolina reflect broader political trends in the state and could have implications for the upcoming primary elections. The rise in independent voters could signal a shift in the electorate, while the efforts by some former Democrats to run as Republicans highlights the fluidity of party affiliations.

The details

Since January 17, the Democratic party in North Carolina has lost 3,134 registered voters, while the Republican party has lost 1,260. Meanwhile, the number of independent or unaffiliated voters has grown by 2,140. This continues a trend that has seen the Democratic party's share of registered voters decline from 47.6% in 2004 to 30% currently, while the Republican share has fallen from 34.4% to 30.1% and the independent share has risen from 17.7% to 39.2%.

  • The 51-day window to vote in North Carolina's primaries closes on March 3.
  • Early in-person voting, during which same-day registration is available, began on Thursday.

The players

Pamela Ayscue

A former Democrat who switched to the Republican party in order to run for the state House of Representatives in District 32.

Frank Sossamon

A former state representative who was unseated in 2024 by a Democratic challenger.

Melissa Elliott

A Democrat running in the primary for the District 32 state House seat.

Curtis McRae

A Democrat running in the primary for the District 32 state House seat.

Bryan Cohn

A Democrat who flipped the District 32 state House seat in 2024.

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What they’re saying

“Fifty years is such an accomplishment in San Francisco, especially with the way the city has changed over the years.”

— Gordon Edgar, grocery employee (Instagram)

What’s next

The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.

The takeaway

This case highlights growing concerns in the community about repeat offenders released on bail, raising questions about bail reform, public safety on SF streets, and if any special laws to govern autonomous vehicles in residential and commercial areas.