Bills QB Josh Allen Favored to Win 2026-27 NFL MVP

Allen opens as the betting favorite, followed by Lamar Jackson and Drake Maye

Feb. 11, 2026 at 12:39pm

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Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen has opened as the favorite to win the 2026-27 NFL MVP award at sportsbooks, with odds of +600. Allen, the 2024-25 MVP, is followed by Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (+700) and New England Patriots QB Drake Maye (+900) in the early betting odds. Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, who is rehabbing a torn ACL, opened at 11-1 odds but has been bet down to 10-1.

Why it matters

The early NFL MVP odds provide a glimpse into how oddsmakers and bettors view the top contenders for the league's most prestigious individual award next season. Allen's status as the favorite reflects his consistent excellence, while Mahomes' injury creates uncertainty around his chances of winning a third career MVP.

The details

Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams won the 2025-26 NFL MVP award in a close vote over Maye. Stafford threw for 4,707 yards and 47 touchdowns. Allen, the 2024-25 MVP, opened as the favorite at +600, followed by Jackson (+700) and Maye (+900). Mahomes, who suffered a torn ACL late last season, opened at 11-1 odds but has been bet down to 10-1. Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott opened at 12-1, while Chicago Bears QB Caleb Williams (16-1) and Denver Broncos QB Bo Nix (35-1) have generated the most early bets to win the award.

  • The 2025-26 NFL season just concluded.

The players

Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills quarterback and the 2024-25 NFL MVP.

Lamar Jackson

Baltimore Ravens quarterback.

Drake Maye

New England Patriots quarterback.

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback who is currently rehabbing a torn ACL.

Dak Prescott

Dallas Cowboys quarterback.

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What they’re saying

“Mahomes has the most money wagered in the first few days of this market being open at 46%.”

— John Ewing, BetMGM

The takeaway

The early NFL MVP odds reflect the league's top quarterbacks, with Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Drake Maye leading the way. However, the uncertainty around Patrick Mahomes' recovery from a torn ACL could open the door for other contenders to emerge as the season approaches.