Houston Braces for Valentine's Day Storms

Showers and thunderstorms expected on Saturday, some potentially strong

Published on Feb. 13, 2026

Got story updates? Submit your updates here. ›

Houston is expected to see showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, with a few of the storms potentially being on the stronger side. While the morning and midday hours should be relatively calm, a round of storms is likely to arrive in the evening hours between 6 and 10 PM. A marginal risk of severe weather is in place for the region, with the highest chance of severe storms north of I-10. Locally heavy rainfall of up to 2 inches is also possible in some areas.

Why it matters

The incoming storms could disrupt Valentine's Day plans for Houstonians, with the threat of heavy rain, strong winds, and even a few severe storms. The weather is an important factor to consider for anyone making plans for the holiday weekend.

The details

The weather pattern is expected to unfold in two waves on Saturday. The first round of showers and a few thunderstorms may arrive in the mid to late afternoon, but these are not expected to be significant. It's the second round of storms, likely between 6 and 10 PM, that could be on the stronger side. A marginal risk of severe weather is in place, meaning there is a lower-end chance of seeing gusty winds or other severe storm impacts. The heaviest rainfall is also likely to occur during the evening hours, with some locations potentially seeing up to 2 inches.

  • Friday morning: Dense fog is likely across the southeast half of the Houston area, including Galveston Island.
  • Saturday afternoon: First round of showers and a few thunderstorms possible, but not expected to be severe.
  • Saturday evening (6-10 PM): Second, stronger round of thunderstorms expected, with a marginal risk of severe weather.
  • Sunday: Clearing skies and pleasant weather, with highs in the low 70s and breezy north winds.
  • Monday (Presidents' Day): Morning lows in the 40s and 50s, warming to the 70s with sunshine.

The players

NOAA

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the federal agency that monitors and predicts weather conditions.

NOAA SPC

The NOAA's Storm Prediction Center, which issues forecasts and warnings for severe weather.

Pivotal Weather

A weather forecasting and analysis website that provides detailed information on weather patterns and models.

Got photos? Submit your photos here. ›

What they’re saying

“Areas of dense fog are likely south and east of Highway 59 this morning.”

— NOAA (spacecityweather.com)

“The entire region is carpeted in a marginal risk, level 1/5, for severe weather tomorrow, which generally means lower-end coverage of severe storms.”

— NOAA SPC (spacecityweather.com)

“HRRR model forecast for Saturday, showing a mixture of haves and have nots in the rainfall department.”

— Pivotal Weather (spacecityweather.com)

What’s next

The National Weather Service will continue to monitor the situation and provide updates on the potential for severe weather and heavy rainfall in the Houston area on Saturday.

The takeaway

Houstonians should be prepared for the possibility of disruptive weather on Valentine's Day, with the potential for strong thunderstorms, heavy rain, and gusty winds. It's important to stay informed, have a plan, and be ready to adjust any outdoor plans accordingly.