Jahmyr Gibbs: Early 2026 ADP and Scoring Projections for Lions RB

The elite fantasy RB faces some potential yellow flags heading into next season.

Published on Feb. 14, 2026

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Jahmyr Gibbs has established himself as one of the safest and most productive fantasy running backs, but there are a couple of faint yellow flags to consider as he heads into the 2026 season. While Gibbs' floor remains tremendous and his ceiling is still elite, the likelihood that Detroit's offense won't perform as well as it did in 2024 could impact his production.

Why it matters

Gibbs is a perennial top fantasy RB, so understanding his outlook for the upcoming season is crucial for fantasy managers looking to draft him early. Any potential concerns about his situation could affect his draft position and overall value.

The details

Gibbs' plus offense and significant workload should keep him in the elite or near-elite fantasy ranks for at least a couple more years. However, there are two faint yellow flags to consider. First, there's a likelihood that Detroit's offense won't perform as well as it did in 2024, when they were #1 in scoring and had the sixth-most offensive yards in NFL history. Last year, the offense took a step back, with Jared Goff taking a career-high 38 sacks and Gibbs mustering a career-low 1.7 rushing yards after first contact and a career-low broken-tackle rate. Second, every fantasy player, especially those at the running back position, has some downside risk due to the relatively short careers at that position.

  • Jahmyr Gibbs had a career-low 1.7 rushing yards after first contact and a career-low broken-tackle rate in 2025.
  • Detroit's offense took a meaningful step back in 2025 after being #1 in scoring and having the sixth-most offensive yards in NFL history in 2024.

The players

Jahmyr Gibbs

A perennial elite fantasy running back for the Detroit Lions.

Jared Goff

The Detroit Lions' starting quarterback, who took a career-high 38 sacks in 2025.

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The takeaway

While Jahmyr Gibbs remains one of the safest and most productive fantasy running backs, there are a couple of faint yellow flags to consider heading into the 2026 season. The likelihood that Detroit's offense won't perform as well as it did in 2024, combined with the inherent downside risk of the running back position, means fantasy managers need to weigh these factors when drafting Gibbs early.