Farmers Brace for Potential Farm Crisis Amid Rising Costs

Surging fertilizer and diesel prices squeeze an industry already under pressure from consolidation and trade tensions

Apr. 2, 2026 at 8:38pm

An abstract illustration using bold geometric shapes in primary colors to conceptually represent the rising costs squeezing the farming industry.Geometric shapes and colors convey the economic pressures facing American farmers as fertilizer and fuel prices soar.Vinton Today

Farmers across America are facing a perfect storm of rising costs for fertilizer and diesel fuel, exacerbated by the ongoing war between the U.S., Israel, and Iran. This is putting immense pressure on an industry already struggling with consolidation, trade tensions, and slim profit margins. Experts warn that the situation could lead to further farm bankruptcies and higher food prices for consumers.

Why it matters

The farm crisis could have far-reaching implications, from reduced crop yields and higher consumer prices to potential long-term damage to the agricultural sector. As a major driver of the U.S. economy, the health of the farming industry is crucial, and the current pressures threaten the livelihoods of many family-owned operations.

The details

Farmers are seeing the cost of key inputs like fertilizer and diesel skyrocket in the wake of the U.S. and Israel's attack on Iran, which has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz and disrupted global supplies. This is compounding existing challenges, such as industry consolidation and trade tensions that have squeezed profit margins in recent years. Many farmers are now being forced to make tough decisions, like using less fertilizer and risking lower yields, or passing on higher costs to consumers.

  • In 2025, the number of Chapter 12 farm bankruptcies reached 315, up 46% from the previous year.
  • On February 28, the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz and disrupting global fertilizer and fuel supplies.
  • In late February, the price of a key nitrogen fertilizer was $795 per ton, but by the end of March it had jumped to $990 per ton.

The players

Mark Mueller

A fourth-generation Iowa farmer and president of the Iowa Corn Growers Association, who believes America is on the cusp of a farm crisis.

Lance Lillibridge

A corn and cattle farmer from Vinton, Iowa, who plans to use less fertilizer this year due to the price increases.

Will Harris

A fourth-generation cattle farmer in Bluffton, Georgia, who is concerned about how much more consumers will have to pay for beef.

Faith Parum

An economist at the American Farm Bureau Federation, an advocacy group for farmers and ranchers.

Donald Trump

The former U.S. president who announced $12 billion in aid to farmers in December and urged Congress to pass a new farm bill.

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What they’re saying

“I am more concerned now than I have been in my 30 years of farming.”

— Mark Mueller, Farmer and President of the Iowa Corn Growers Association

“This is that perfect storm where everything comes together and hammers the farmer.”

— Mark Mueller, Farmer and President of the Iowa Corn Growers Association

“I'm probably going to see a reduction in yield. If there's not the supply out there, then the price is going to go up.”

— Lance Lillibridge, Corn and Cattle Farmer

“I worry about how much more consumers will continue to pay for beef.”

— Will Harris, Fourth-Generation Cattle Farmer

“We're slowly starting to hear the longer this goes on, we're also going to have issues with even the availability of the fertilizer.”

— Faith Parum, Economist, American Farm Bureau Federation

What’s next

The Biden administration has announced plans to convene an emergency summit with farm leaders and industry experts to discuss potential policy interventions to support the agricultural sector and mitigate the impact of the crisis on consumers.

The takeaway

The confluence of rising input costs, trade tensions, and the ongoing geopolitical conflict has created a perfect storm for American farmers, threatening the viability of many family-owned operations and potentially leading to higher food prices for consumers. Policymakers and industry leaders will need to work together to find solutions to support the agricultural sector and ensure a stable and affordable food supply.