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Guernsey Today
By the People, for the People
Canadian Company Proposes Reviving Parts of Keystone XL Pipeline
South Bow's plan to resurrect sections of the cancelled project needs Trump's approval and additional links to U.S. refineries.
Published on Mar. 2, 2026
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A Canadian company called South Bow is proposing to revive parts of the cancelled Keystone XL oil pipeline project. The new plan involves a different route through the U.S. than the previous Keystone XL project. South Bow, which was set up by former Keystone XL proponent TC Energy, is considering reviving some of the line that was already built in Alberta and has all necessary Canadian permits. However, the proposal would still require a presidential permit from the U.S. and the construction of additional pipelines to connect to U.S. refining hubs.
Why it matters
The proposed project could increase Canada's crude oil exports to the U.S. by more than 12% if approved, providing a boost to Canada's energy industry. However, the plan is likely to face opposition from environmental and Indigenous groups, similar to the original Keystone XL project.
The details
South Bow's potential U.S. partner, Bridger Pipeline, has filed a proposal with Montana regulators to build a 645-mile pipeline capable of transporting up to 550,000 barrels per day from the U.S.-Canada border to Guernsey, Wyoming. But Guernsey is not an end market for crude, so additional pipelines would need to be built to transport the oil to refining hubs like Cushing, Oklahoma and the U.S. Gulf Coast. Gaining permits and avoiding environmental litigation for the Guernsey-to-Steele City, Nebraska segment is seen as the biggest challenge.
- In October 2026, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney discussed the pipeline's revival with former U.S. President Donald Trump.
- Bridger Pipeline recently filed its proposal with Montana regulators.
The players
South Bow
A Canadian company set up by former Keystone XL proponent TC Energy in 2024 to take over its oil pipeline business.
Bridger Pipeline
South Bow's potential U.S. partner that has filed a proposal with Montana regulators to build a pipeline from the U.S.-Canada border to Guernsey, Wyoming.
Donald Trump
The former U.S. President who the Canadian Prime Minister discussed the pipeline's revival with.
Mark Carney
The Canadian Prime Minister who discussed the pipeline's revival with former U.S. President Donald Trump.
Richard Masson
The former CEO of the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission who commented on the political risks of the proposed project.
What they’re saying
“The biggest challenge in this plan in a Guernsey-to-Steele City segment is gaining permits, and building new pipeline that would likely face environmental litigation tying up such a project up in court.”
— Matthew Lewis, Founder of Plainview Energy Analytics (Reuters)
“For those who wanted Keystone XL cancelled, this is all the same stuff.”
— Richard Masson, Former CEO of the Alberta Petroleum Marketing Commission (Reuters)
What’s next
The proposed project would require a presidential permit from the U.S. government and additional regulatory approvals before it could move forward.
The takeaway
The revival of the Keystone XL pipeline project, even in a modified form, is likely to face significant opposition from environmental and Indigenous groups, highlighting the ongoing tensions between energy development and environmental concerns in North America.
