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The Plains Today
By the People, for the People
Stormy Weather Forecast for Valentine's Day Weekend Across US
AccuWeather predicts widespread rain, thunderstorms, and potential for snow and ice impacts in parts of the country.
Published on Feb. 11, 2026
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Forecasters say a large storm system is expected to bring widespread rain and thunderstorms across the south-central and southeastern U.S. over the Valentine's Day weekend. The Northeast could also see snow and ice impacts, depending on the storm's track. AccuWeather is monitoring two possible paths for the storm, which could affect travel and logistics in areas like the Mississippi River.
Why it matters
This storm system has the potential to disrupt travel plans and cause flooding concerns for many Americans during a busy holiday weekend. The impacts will depend on the exact track of the storm, which meteorologists are closely monitoring.
The details
According to AccuWeather, the storm is forecast to start over the Plains on Friday before moving east into the Mississippi Valley and reaching southwestern Virginia, while also pushing south toward northern Georgia through Sunday. Parts of the Southeast may see a quick spell of rain around midweek from the trailing edge of a clipper system ahead of the main storm's development. AccuWeather said the most pronounced impacts are expected from Texas and Oklahoma east into Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas. Farther north, most locations from Missouri to Kentucky and southern Virginia are expected to see rain, with only a short window for ice or snow at the start in parts of North Carolina, southern Virginia and portions of the Northeast.
- The storm is forecast to start over the Plains on Friday, February 14, 2026.
- The storm is expected to reach southwestern Virginia and push south toward northern Georgia through Sunday, February 16, 2026.
- Parts of the Southeast may see a quick spell of rain around midweek, February 12, 2026, from the trailing edge of a clipper system ahead of the main storm's development.
The players
AccuWeather
A leading commercial weather forecasting company that provides weather-related news, data, and analysis.
Chad Merrill
A senior meteorologist with AccuWeather.
What they’re saying
“There is another factor to consider, and that there is a chance this storm reorganizes quickly enough to cut northward, toward the Great Lakes this weekend, rather than take a pretty much west-to-east track across the nation.”
— Chad Merrill, Senior Meteorologist
What’s next
AccuWeather said it is closely monitoring the storm's potential track and will provide updates on the expected impacts and timing as the system develops over the next few days.
The takeaway
This Valentine's Day weekend storm has the potential to disrupt travel and cause flooding concerns across a wide swath of the country, underscoring the importance of closely following weather forecasts and advisories in the coming days.
