Sunny Thursday but rain chances increase this weekend in Houston

Warm and humid conditions to start the day, but a cold front brings storm chances by the weekend.

Published on Mar. 5, 2026

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Houston is in for a mix of weather this week, with a sunny and warm Thursday giving way to increasing rain chances over the weekend. A cold front moving in on Friday will bring the potential for severe storms, while a stalling front and cut-off upper-level system on Sunday could lead to more widespread rainfall next week.

Why it matters

The changing weather patterns are important for Houstonians, especially with the annual Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo taking place. The rain could impact outdoor activities and events, while the drought conditions across southeast Texas heighten the fire danger in the region.

The details

Thursday will see warm and humid conditions, with coastal fog in the morning hours. Showers will be isolated, but the cold front moving in on Friday will increase the chances for severe storms, especially north and west of Harris County. Over the weekend, the front is expected to stall, and a cut-off upper-level system will move in, potentially leading to more widespread rainfall by next week. The rain is much needed, as drought conditions have led to burn bans across 14 counties in southeast Texas.

  • Thursday morning: Dense Fog Advisory in effect until 10 AM.
  • Friday: Cold front moves in, bringing a low risk for severe storms into southeast Texas.
  • Saturday: Cold front brings a line of storms with potential for downpours and strong winds.
  • Sunday: Cut-off upper-level system moves in, increasing rain and storm chances.
  • Next week: Low pressure system stalls over southeast Texas, leading to daily rain chances.

The players

Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo

An annual event in Houston that features livestock exhibitions, carnival rides, live music, and other activities.

Southeast Texas

A region in Texas that includes the Houston metropolitan area and surrounding counties, which are currently experiencing drought conditions.

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What’s next

The changing weather patterns will be closely monitored by local meteorologists, and updates will be provided to the public as the situation develops.

The takeaway

The mix of sunny, warm conditions and increasing rain chances this week in Houston highlights the unpredictable nature of the region's weather. Residents should stay informed and prepared for potential severe weather, while also being mindful of the ongoing drought conditions and fire danger in the area.