Texas Democrats See Chance to Win Senate Seat

Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett says demographic shifts give Democrats an opportunity in the Lone Star State

Mar. 2, 2026 at 9:39am

Got story updates? Submit your updates here. ›

In an interview on MS NOW's 'Morning Joe,' Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-TX) said Democrats 'absolutely' have a chance to win the Texas Senate seat due to significant demographic changes in the state, including a growing Latino population and increasing diversity in suburban counties like Dallas and Tarrant.

Why it matters

Texas has long been a Republican stronghold, but the state's rapidly changing demographics could provide an opening for Democrats to be competitive in statewide races. The Texas Senate seat is seen as a key pickup opportunity for Democrats as they look to expand their majority in the upper chamber.

The details

Crockett, who previously served in the Texas state house, noted that the state's population grew by 4 million people over the past several years, with 95% of that growth coming from people of color. Latinos now make up the largest racial/ethnic group in Texas at 41% of the population, and the state also has the fastest-growing Asian American and Pacific Islander community in the country. These demographic shifts have been particularly pronounced in the suburbs surrounding major cities like Dallas and Houston, which have historically leaned Republican but are now more competitive for Democrats.

  • Texas' population grew by 4 million people in recent years.

The players

Rep. Jasmine Crockett

A Democratic Congresswoman from Texas who previously served in the state legislature.

Got photos? Submit your photos here. ›

What they’re saying

“Absolutely. When I was in the state house and we drew the lines, we know that the state of Texas grew by a total of 4 million people. Of those 4 million people, we know that 180,000 were Anglos. The other 95% of the growth that took place in this state was people of color.”

— Rep. Jasmine Crockett, Democratic Congresswoman from Texas (MS NOW)

The takeaway

Texas' rapidly changing demographics, with significant growth in communities of color, could provide an opening for Democrats to be competitive in statewide races like the upcoming Senate election. However, the state remains a Republican stronghold, and Democrats will need to effectively mobilize these new voters to have a chance at victory.