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Crockett Surges to 12-Point Lead in Senate Primary As Texas Democrats Consolidate
Democrat Rep. Jasmine Crockett expands edge over state Rep. James Talarico as early voting begins.
Published on Feb. 28, 2026
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Democrat Rep. Jasmine Crockett (TX-30) is pulling away in the Texas Democrat U.S. Senate primary, leading state Rep. James Talarico by 12 points according to a new statewide survey. The poll, conducted from February 2 to February 16 among likely Democrat primary voters, shows Crockett at 56% and Talarico at 44% as early voting has already begun.
Why it matters
This shift in the Senate primary race is happening as Texans are already casting their ballots, indicating Crockett is gaining momentum and consolidating support from Texas Democrats as the March primary approaches. The winner will likely face off against the Republican nominee in the general election for the open Senate seat.
The details
The latest poll shows Crockett, a Dallas congresswoman, expanding her lead over Talarico, a state representative, as early voting kicked off on February 17 and runs through February 27 ahead of the March primary. Crockett's 12-point advantage represents a significant shift from previous surveys that had shown a tighter race.
- Early voting began on February 17 and runs through February 27.
- The poll was conducted from February 2 to February 16 among likely Democratic primary voters.
The players
Rep. Jasmine Crockett
A Democratic congresswoman from Texas's 30th district who is leading the U.S. Senate primary race.
Rep. James Talarico
A Democratic state representative in Texas who is trailing Crockett in the Senate primary.
The takeaway
Crockett's surge in the Senate primary as early voting is underway suggests Texas Democrats are coalescing around her candidacy, potentially giving her an advantage heading into the March primary. However, the general election race will likely be highly competitive in the battleground state of Texas.
