First Day of Spring Weather Predictions for Tennessee

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As Tennessee prepares for the first day of spring on March 20, 2026, weather forecasts from the National Weather Service, Farmers' Almanac, and Climate Prediction Center indicate a mix of warmer temperatures, chances of severe storms, and regional variations across the state.

Why it matters

Spring weather patterns and forecasts are crucial for Tennessee residents, farmers, and businesses as they plan for the transition from winter to the growing season. Accurate predictions help people prepare for potential impacts on agriculture, outdoor activities, and daily life.

The details

The National Weather Service forecasts a gradual warm-up in Middle Tennessee, with highs in the 60s and 70s through the weekend, though a brief cold front is expected on March 23. The Farmers' Almanac predicts the Southeast and Southwest will see the warmest spring, though the Southwest may face continued drought and wildfire risk. The Climate Prediction Center foresees a 40-50% chance of above-normal temperatures for Tennessee, with normal precipitation chances.

• The March equinox will occur on March 20, 2026 at 9:46 a.m. CT, marking the astronomical start of spring.
• Memphis typically sees 5.87 inches of precipitation in April, 5.27 inches in May, and 3.99 inches in June, with temperatures warming from an average of 63.2°F in April to 79.9°F in June.
• Nashville's spring climate includes 4.72 inches of precipitation in April, 5.02 inches in May, and 4.36 inches in June, with average temps rising from 60.8°F in April to 77.1°F in June.
• Knoxville normal precipitation averages 4.71 inches in April, 4.13 inches in May, and 4.24 inches in June, with average temps increasing from 59.6°F in April to 75.3°F by June.