Why These 2 Cryptocurrencies Are Set to Plunge: A Long-Term Prediction

Analyst warns of further 50% declines for Shiba Inu and Dogecoin amid lack of real-world adoption and excessive supply

Apr. 11, 2026 at 8:40pm

An extreme close-up of various gears, levers, and metal components that make up the complex machinery of the financial system, conveying a sense of the tangible, industrial nature of the cryptocurrency market.As the cryptocurrency market continues its volatile swings, the underlying mechanics and infrastructure that power digital assets come into focus.Bristol Today

The cryptocurrency market has been highly volatile, with the total value swinging from $4.4 trillion to $2.4 trillion in just a year. Amidst this turbulence, two meme coins, Shiba Inu and Dogecoin, have seen their values plummet by nearly 70% from their 52-week highs. According to an expert analyst, these coins are poised for further declines, with a predicted 50% (or more) drop in the long term due to their lack of sustainable demand and excessive supply.

Why it matters

The dramatic rise and fall of Shiba Inu and Dogecoin highlight the speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market, where hype and social media trends can drive massive price swings. The potential for further declines in these meme coins raises concerns about the long-term viability of certain cryptocurrencies and the need for investors to carefully evaluate the fundamentals before making investment decisions.

The details

Shiba Inu, created in 2020 as a response to the surge in Dogecoin's value, has seen its token value drop 93% from its 2021 peak. The key issue is the lack of consistent demand, as it has failed to gain traction as a payment method, with only 1,144 businesses worldwide accepting it. The token's extreme volatility also makes it impractical for cash-flow management, hindering its adoption. Despite the launch of Shibarium, a Layer-2 blockchain solution, to improve transaction speeds and costs, adoption remains stagnant. Without a sustainable demand, further losses are inevitable, and the analyst predicts a 50% decline in its value over the long term. Dogecoin, created as a light-hearted joke in 2013, saw its market cap soar to over $90 billion in 2021, surpassing many S&P 500 companies. However, this surge was speculative, and the coin is now down 87% from its peak. The main issue lies in its supply, with 153.7 billion coins in circulation and a limited annual mining cap of 5 billion, the supply will roughly double over the next three decades. For Dogecoin to maintain its market cap, the value of each coin must halve, or it needs a sustainable demand. Given its lack of real-world use cases beyond Elon Musk's memes, this seems unlikely. The analyst predicts a similar fate for Dogecoin, with a 50% decline in its value over the long term.

  • Shiba Inu token value has dropped 93% from its 2021 peak.
  • Dogecoin's market cap soared to over $90 billion in 2021, surpassing many S&P 500 companies, but is now down 87% from its peak.

The players

Shiba Inu

A cryptocurrency created in 2020 as a response to the surge in Dogecoin's value, built on the Ethereum platform with the aim of offering faster and lower-cost transactions.

Dogecoin

A cryptocurrency created as a light-hearted joke in 2013, which gained traction when Elon Musk started sharing Dogecoin-themed memes on social media.

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The takeaway

The speculative nature, lack of real-world adoption, and excessive supply of Shiba Inu and Dogecoin make them vulnerable to further declines. Investors should exercise caution and consider the long-term prospects of these coins before making any investment decisions.