Experts Grade Their March Madness Bracket Predictions

How did the experts fare in forecasting the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament?

Mar. 24, 2026 at 8:48am

With no perfect brackets remaining in the major online challenges, the experts take a look back at how they fared in predicting the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament. Analysts from USA TODAY Sports graded their bracket picks, highlighting their best and worst selections as the field narrowed to the Sweet 16.

Why it matters

Filling out March Madness brackets is an annual rite of passage for sports fans, but it's notoriously difficult to predict the upsets and surprises that often define the NCAA Tournament. This story provides insight into how even seasoned experts struggled to forecast the early rounds, underscoring the unpredictable nature of the event.

The details

The article reviews the bracket predictions of several USA TODAY Sports analysts, including Blake Toppmeyer, Matt Hayes, Jordan Mendoza, Paul Myerberg, Brent Schrotenboer, John Brice, Craig Meyer, and Eddie Timanus. Each expert's performance is graded, with a focus on their best and worst picks. For example, Toppmeyer correctly predicted VCU's upset of North Carolina but had BYU reaching the Elite Eight, while Mendoza lost three of his Sweet 16 teams in the first round.

  • The 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament took place in March 2026.

The players

Matas Vokietaitis

A player for the No. 11 seed Texas Longhorns.

Henri Veesaar

The center for the North Carolina Tar Heels.

AJ Dybantsa

A player for the BYU Cougars.

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The takeaway

The 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament proved to be exceptionally difficult to predict, even for seasoned experts. This underscores the unpredictable nature of March Madness and the challenge fans face in filling out perfect brackets. The story highlights how even the best bracket predictions can be derailed by unexpected upsets and early tournament exits.