Punxsutawney Phil to Predict Early Spring or 6 More Weeks of Winter

The annual Groundhog Day tradition returns to Pennsylvania on February 2nd.

Jan. 31, 2026 at 11:23am

Monday marks the 140th annual Groundhog Day celebration in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, where the famous groundhog Punxsutawney Phil will emerge from his burrow to determine if there will be an early spring or six more weeks of winter in 2026. The tradition, which originated in Europe as Candlemas Day, has become a beloved American event drawing crowds to the small Pennsylvania town to witness Phil's weather prediction.

Why it matters

Groundhog Day has become a cherished cultural tradition in the United States, with people across the country eagerly awaiting Phil's forecast each year. The event highlights the human desire to find meaning and patterns in nature, while also providing a lighthearted respite from the winter doldrums.

The details

On Monday morning, Punxsutawney Phil will be awakened from his slumber and brought out to make his annual weather prediction. If Phil sees his shadow, it is said to signify six more weeks of winter. If he does not see his shadow, it is a sign of an early spring. Statistically, Phil has been accurate with his forecast about 40% of the time since the tradition began. The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, which organizes the event, says the celebration has become a "bucket list" experience, drawing visitors from around the world to witness the quirky tradition.

  • Groundhog Day is observed annually on February 2nd.
  • The 140th Groundhog Day celebration will take place on Monday, February 2, 2026.

The players

Punxsutawney Phil

The famous groundhog who is responsible for making the annual Groundhog Day weather prediction in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania.

Punxsutawney Groundhog Club

The organization that oversees the annual Groundhog Day celebration in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania.

Dan McGinley

The Vice President of the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, who has described the event as a "bucket list" experience.

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What they’re saying

“It has become a bucket list event. It is so unique. It is this combination of history and celebration and it's this little slice of Americana that you can experience that you're not going to find anywhere else. We are gathering outside in the middle of Pennsylvania in the middle of the night in the middle of the winter waiting to hear a groundhog predict the weather. It's just as irreverent and quirky and fun as you can imagine.”

— Dan McGinley, Vice President, Punxsutawney Groundhog Club

What’s next

On Monday, February 2nd, 2026, crowds will gather in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania to see if Punxsutawney Phil emerges from his burrow and sees his shadow, signaling six more weeks of winter, or if he does not see his shadow, indicating an early spring.

The takeaway

Groundhog Day has endured as a beloved American tradition, capturing the human desire to find meaning in nature and providing a lighthearted respite from the winter months. The annual event in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania has become a unique cultural experience that draws visitors from around the world to witness the quirky ritual.