Texas Smokehouses Struggle as Beef Supply Tightens

Cattle shortage impacts barbecue businesses across the Lone Star State

Published on Feb. 12, 2026

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Texas smokehouses and barbecue restaurants are facing challenges as the nationwide beef supply tightens, with a dwindling cattle population cited as a key factor behind the supply crunch.

Why it matters

The beef supply shortage is putting pressure on Texas' iconic barbecue industry, which relies heavily on access to affordable, high-quality meat. This could lead to higher prices for consumers and potential business closures if the situation persists.

The details

The beef supply shortage is being driven by a decline in the overall cattle population across the United States. Factors like drought, high feed costs, and herd liquidation have all contributed to the shrinking cattle numbers, creating challenges for meat processors and distributors.

  • The beef supply shortage has been an ongoing issue for the past 12-18 months.

The players

Texas Smokehouses

Barbecue restaurants and meat processing businesses located throughout the state of Texas that rely on a steady supply of beef.

Cattle Ranchers

Farmers and ranchers across the United States who raise and sell cattle, serving as the primary suppliers of beef to meat processors and distributors.

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What they’re saying

“We're having to pay more for brisket and other cuts, and it's really squeezing our margins. If this keeps up, we may have to raise our prices or even consider shutting down.”

— John Hernandez, Owner, Lone Star Barbecue

What’s next

Industry experts predict the beef supply shortage could persist for the next 6-12 months, as cattle herds take time to rebuild to meet demand.

The takeaway

The beef supply crunch underscores the vulnerability of Texas' iconic barbecue industry to broader agricultural and economic trends. Businesses may need to adapt their operations and pricing to weather this challenge, while consumers may face higher costs for their favorite smoked meats.