Storm Prediction Center Warns of Severe Weather Threat in East Texas, Western Louisiana

Mesoscale Discussion 0075 indicates 60% chance of watch issuance as storms approach the region

Published on Feb. 15, 2026

Got story updates? Submit your updates here. ›

The National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center has issued Mesoscale Discussion 0075, warning of a severe weather threat across parts of east Texas and western Louisiana this afternoon and evening. A loosely organized line of thunderstorms has already developed in north-central Texas, with the potential for the storms to become more organized and produce damaging winds, tornadoes, and large hail as they move eastward.

Why it matters

This severe weather threat comes as the region has already experienced a number of strong storms and tornadoes so far this year, raising concerns about public safety and the potential for additional property damage. The Storm Prediction Center is closely monitoring the situation and may issue a severe thunderstorm or tornado watch if conditions warrant.

The details

According to the Mesoscale Discussion, a weakly organized line of thunderstorms, known as a QLCS, has already developed across parts of north-central Texas early this afternoon. While the severe threat has been limited so far due to weak buoyancy and poor low-level lapse rates, the Storm Prediction Center expects conditions to gradually improve as an approaching mid/upper level trough and diurnal heating work to weaken the capping inversion that has inhibited deeper convection farther south. An increase in storm coverage and organization is anticipated along the composite outflow/cold front as the storms approach east Texas by late afternoon.

  • The Mesoscale Discussion is valid from 2:05 PM CST to 10:30 PM CST on Saturday, February 14, 2026.
  • The Storm Prediction Center estimates a 60% probability of a severe weather watch being issued by mid to late afternoon.

The players

Storm Prediction Center

The Storm Prediction Center is a division of the National Weather Service that is responsible for issuing forecasts and watches for severe thunderstorms and tornadoes across the contiguous United States.

National Weather Service

The National Weather Service is an agency of the United States government that is tasked with providing weather forecasts, warnings, and other meteorological information to the public.

Got photos? Submit your photos here. ›

What’s next

The Storm Prediction Center will continue to monitor the situation and may issue a severe thunderstorm or tornado watch for parts of east Texas and western Louisiana if conditions warrant. Residents in the affected areas should closely monitor the latest weather forecasts and be prepared to take shelter if severe storms develop.

The takeaway

This severe weather threat highlights the importance of staying vigilant and prepared for rapidly changing weather conditions, especially in regions that have already experienced significant storm activity this year. By closely following the guidance of the National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center, communities can take proactive steps to protect lives and property.