Oklahoma Braces For Heavy Rainfall This Weekend

Flooding concerns in low areas as system moves in Thursday night

Published on Feb. 11, 2026

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Oklahoma is preparing for a wet weekend with rain starting Thursday night, potentially disrupting Valentine's Day plans and raising flooding concerns in low-lying areas. The system is expected to bring one to two inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible, leading to potential flooding in some locations, particularly in low-lying and poorly drained areas.

Why it matters

Oklahoma has been exceptionally dry and in desperate need of rain, but this weekend's system won't completely quench the drought or void the state of any fire danger. Elevated and near-critical fire weather is expected early next week for portions of western and northwest Oklahoma.

The details

The system will begin moving into Oklahoma late Thursday night and into Friday morning, with the biggest chances for rain on Friday night into Saturday morning. Heavy rainfall is expected, along with thunderstorms, and the National Weather Service in Norman warns that the heavy rain could lead to flooding in some locations, particularly in low-lying and poorly drained areas. Ponding is also possible on roadways.

  • Rain chances will return Thursday evening, with the system moving in late Thursday night.
  • Biggest chances for rain will be Friday night into Saturday morning.
  • Heaviest rain expected early Saturday morning across Oklahoma.

The players

National Weather Service in Norman

The local National Weather Service office that is providing the weather forecast and warnings for this system.

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What they’re saying

“Heavy rainfall is expected with this system that could lead to possible flooding. Heavier rain is expected early Saturday morning. However, some heavy rain in the late Friday hours can't be ruled out.”

— National Weather Service in Norman (1073popcrush.com)

“Even though Oklahoma is exceptionally dry and in desperate need of rain, this weekend's system won't quench the drought completely or void the state of any fire danger. Elevated and near-critical fire weather is expected early next week for portions of western and northwest Oklahoma.”

— National Weather Service in Norman (1073popcrush.com)

What’s next

The overall fire danger for next week is conditional, depending on the amount of rain this weekend and how quickly the vegetation dries out.

The takeaway

This weekend's heavy rainfall in Oklahoma could lead to flooding concerns, especially in low-lying areas, but the system won't fully alleviate the state's ongoing drought conditions. Residents should be prepared for the potential of severe weather and flooding, as well as the continued risk of fire danger in the coming week.