Over 14,000 Perfect March Madness Brackets Remain After Day 1

Odds of a perfect bracket are 1 in 9.2 quintillion, but some fans still have a chance

Mar. 21, 2026 at 11:23am

Millions of college basketball fans filled out March Madness brackets, but by the end of the first day of the tournament, over half had been eliminated. Just over 14,000 perfect brackets, or about 0.039% of all entries, survived the initial upsets. While no one has ever submitted a verifiable perfect bracket, the NCAA says the odds of correctly predicting all 63 games are 1 in 9.2 quintillion.

Why it matters

March Madness is one of the most popular sporting events in the United States, with millions of fans filling out brackets each year. The fact that so few perfect brackets remain highlights just how difficult it is to accurately predict the unpredictable nature of the tournament, where upsets are commonplace.

The details

After the first day of the NCAA Tournament, over 36 million brackets had been filled out, but more than half were eliminated by the end of the day. The biggest shock came when 12-seed High Point upset 5-seed Wisconsin, taking out about 10 million perfect brackets. Other upsets from VCU and Texas further whittled down the number of perfect brackets to just over 14,000, or about 0.039% of all entries.

  • On March 19, the first round of the men's NCAA Tournament began.
  • By the end of the first day on March 19, over half of the 36 million brackets had been eliminated.
  • After the High Point upset on March 19, just over 14 million perfect brackets remained.
  • Following additional upsets on March 19, only about 14,000 perfect brackets, or 0.039% of all entries, were left.

The players

Greg Nigl

An Ohio man who in 2019 correctly selected the first 49 picks in the NCAA Tournament, coming the closest anyone has to a perfect bracket.

Got photos? Submit your photos here. ›

The takeaway

While the odds of a perfect March Madness bracket are astronomically low, the fact that over 14,000 remain after the first day of the tournament shows that some fans still have a chance at the ultimate prize. The unpredictable nature of the tournament is part of what makes it so exciting for millions of fans each year.