High Winds Expected to Shift Lake Champlain Ice

Forecasters warn of up to 50 mph gusts that could cause ice to move on the lake this weekend.

Published on Feb. 28, 2026

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As a winter storm approaches the Champlain Valley, forecasters are warning that high winds of up to 50 mph are expected overnight Friday into Saturday morning, which could cause significant ice movement on Lake Champlain. The National Weather Service says the largest concern is for the broader, thinner areas of the lake, while bays and inlets are less likely to see major ice shifts. Residents and travelers are being urged to use caution and common sense if venturing out on the lake.

Why it matters

Lake Champlain is a major transportation route in the region, with a ferry service connecting Vermont and New York. Sudden ice movement poses risks to the ferry as well as anyone else out on the lake, making safety a top concern for local officials and residents.

The details

The high winds are forecast to arrive as the lake has been completely frozen over, with cracks and smaller ice pieces already present. Meteorologists say the wind will easily be able to push these ice floes around, potentially creating hazardous conditions. While the ferry is typically able to handle windy conditions, residents are being advised to measure ice thickness, use caution, and be aware of the evolving situation on the lake.

  • The high winds are expected overnight Friday into Saturday morning.
  • The National Weather Service says the strongest gusts, up to 50 mph, are forecast for the Champlain Valley region.

The players

Chad Hindman

A Nashville transplant who has recently moved to Vermont and is still adjusting to the region's harsh winters.

Gretchen Koehler

A seasoned ferry rider who is accustomed to the winter conditions on Lake Champlain, but says the expected high winds are a different story.

Eric Myskowski

A meteorologist with the National Weather Service who is warning about the potential for significant ice movement on the lake due to the high winds.

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What they’re saying

“Make sure to measure the ice, know the thickness and just use common sense and be aware of the situation.”

— Eric Myskowski, Meteorologist (mynbc5.com)

“I didn't think we were going to be actually hitting the ice or like breaking through it, it's cool thought.”

— Chad Hindman (mynbc5.com)

“I don't think I have experienced [the ferry] that windy. It's been wavy, but it'll be exciting tomorrow.”

— Gretchen Koehler, Seasoned ferry rider (mynbc5.com)

What’s next

The National Weather Service says that once the high winds pass, Saturday is expected to turn into a nice day to get outside. However, until then, residents are being advised to take precautions if venturing out on the lake.

The takeaway

This winter storm highlights the unique challenges that Lake Champlain's ice cover can pose to transportation and safety in the region. While residents are accustomed to dealing with snow and cold, the potential for sudden ice movement driven by high winds requires extra vigilance and preparation to ensure everyone's wellbeing.