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Prediction Markets Favor Lee Zeldin as Next Attorney General
Bettors see EPA Administrator as top choice to replace Pam Bondi at Justice Department
Apr. 3, 2026 at 8:06am
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Prediction markets point to a shakeup at the Justice Department as bettors see a new attorney general on the horizon.NYC TodayPrediction markets are showing EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin as the overwhelming favorite to replace ousted Attorney General Pam Bondi at the Justice Department. Betting platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have Zeldin leading the field with a 53% and 68% chance, respectively, of being tapped by President Trump as the next attorney general.
Why it matters
The prediction market activity suggests Zeldin may have an inside track on the attorney general job, as suspected insider traders have used these platforms to accurately forecast other major Trump administration moves in the past. The shakeup at the Justice Department also comes at a critical time, with the department playing a central role in the president's policy agenda.
The details
According to the betting data, Zeldin is followed by Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche at 25% and Assistant Attorney General for Civil Rights Harmeet Dhillon at 7% on Kalshi. Polymarket has Blanche at 16% and DC US Attorney Jeanine Pirro at 6%. Other names drawing bets include Texas Attorney General and Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton, Sen. Mike Lee (R-Utah), US Attorney for the Southern District of New York Jay Clayton, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
- On Wednesday, President Trump informed Pam Bondi that she would be replaced as attorney general.
- On Thursday, the president announced that Blanche would step in to serve as acting attorney general.
The players
Lee Zeldin
The EPA Administrator is the overwhelming favorite to replace Pam Bondi as the next Attorney General according to prediction market data.
Todd Blanche
The Deputy Attorney General has been named as the acting Attorney General following Pam Bondi's ouster.
Pam Bondi
The former Attorney General who is being replaced by the Trump administration.
What’s next
The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.
The takeaway
The prediction market activity suggests Zeldin may have an inside track on the attorney general job, as suspected insider traders have used these platforms to accurately forecast other major Trump administration moves in the past.
