U.S. Housing Starts Lag Behind Demand

Experts say the country needs to build millions more homes to address the housing crisis

Feb. 25, 2026 at 5:20pm

The number of new housing units being built in the U.S. has declined in recent years, despite a growing need for more housing. Experts say the country needs to build 3-4 million additional homes beyond normal construction to alleviate the housing shortage, but housing starts have hovered between 1.3 million and 1.6 million annually. Factors like the lingering effects of the 2008 housing crisis and caution among builders and banks have contributed to the lag in new home construction.

Why it matters

The shortage of new housing has made stable and affordable housing precarious or out of reach for many Americans. While politicians and experts agree that building more housing should be a priority, there are still significant barriers to ramping up construction to the levels needed to address the crisis.

The details

In 2025, ground was broken on an estimated 1.36 million homes, a 0.6% drop from 2024. Many experts believe this is far below the number of starts needed to help address the housing shortage in the U.S. According to research by Goldman Sachs, the country needs to build '3-4 million additional homes beyond normal construction' to alleviate the housing crisis. To hit that mark, the number of annual housing starts would need to be closer to 2 million in the coming years.

  • In 2004 and 2005, there were about 2 million annual housing starts.
  • In 2025, ground was broken on an estimated 1.36 million homes, a 0.6% drop from 2024.

The players

Robert D. Dietz

Chief economist at the National Association of Home Builders.

Ali Wolf

Chief economist at Zonda.

Zohran Mamdani

The progressive new mayor of New York City.

JD Vance

The current Vice President.

Gavin Newsom

The Governor of California.

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What they’re saying

“It's been a disappointing year for home construction.”

— Robert D. Dietz, Chief economist at the National Association of Home Builders

“There are so many broken parts of the housing market right now.”

— Ali Wolf, Chief economist at Zonda

What’s next

Politicians from Zohran Mamdani, the progressive new mayor of New York City, to Vice President JD Vance agree that building more housing should be a priority. President Trump has pledged to lower housing costs, but has not revealed a comprehensive plan for doing so. Gov. Gavin Newsom of California has scaled back cumbersome environmental reviews that make building in the state prohibitively expensive.

The takeaway

The shortage of new housing construction is a complex issue with no easy solutions. While there is broad agreement that more homes need to be built, the lingering effects of the 2008 housing crisis, caution among builders and banks, and other factors have made it difficult to ramp up construction to the levels experts say are needed to address the housing crisis.