Coastal Storm Brings Potential Snow to Tri-State Area This Weekend

Forecast confidence increases, but track remains key variable for snow totals

Jan. 28, 2026 at 7:31pm

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A strong coastal storm system is expected to develop off the Carolina coast this weekend, bringing the potential for snow to the tri-state area on Sunday. The storm's track will be the key factor in determining snow totals, with a westward shift bringing higher accumulations and an eastward shift potentially missing the region entirely.

Why it matters

Coastal storms can have significant impacts on the tri-state area, potentially causing power outages, transportation disruptions, and other weather-related issues. Accurate forecasting is crucial for residents to prepare and stay safe.

The details

The incoming storm is very different from last weekend's system that brought a foot or more of snow to the Northeast. This weekend's storm will develop offshore and remain offshore, confining its impacts to the immediate East Coast. The storm will generate strong northeast winds, high surf, and the potential for moderate snow on eastern Long Island and the south Jersey Shore. Lighter snow is more likely in Nassau County, New York City, and Monmouth County, with inland areas less likely to see effects.

  • The storm is expected to develop and strengthen quickly on Saturday off the coast of the Southeastern U.S.
  • The storm will generate 40+ mile per hour northeast wind gusts along the coast on Sunday.
  • The full snow moon comes on Sunday, which will bring higher high tides and exacerbate any flooding from the storm.

The players

Storm Team 4

The weather forecasting team at NBC 4 New York, who are closely monitoring the storm's development and providing updates to the public.

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What they’re saying

“Each day our forecast confidence improves. There is certainly wiggle room between now and the weekend, so stay with Storm Team 4 each day – on air or on any of our digital platforms – to stay current on the forecast as we continue to tweak it.”

— Storm Team 4 (nbcnewyork.com)

What’s next

The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.

The takeaway

This weekend's coastal storm highlights the importance of closely monitoring weather forecasts, as the storm's track will be the key factor in determining snow totals and potential impacts for the tri-state area. Residents should stay tuned to local weather reports and be prepared to adjust their plans accordingly.