Lessons for China and Taiwan from U.S. Actions Against Maduro, Iran

Experts say Taiwan must prepare for a Chinese invasion by securing leadership, building militia, and developing long-range drones and torpedoes

Mar. 16, 2026 at 10:53pm

Experts say the recent U.S. military operations against Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro and Iran's nuclear program hold important lessons for both China and Taiwan. They argue that in their "hubris", China's Xi Jinping and Russia's Vladimir Putin did not expect the re-election of former U.S. President Donald Trump, whose administration was able to capture Maduro and destroy Iran's nuclear capabilities. The experts say Taiwan must learn from these events and prepare for a potential Chinese invasion by securing its leadership, building a large militia force, and developing long-range drones and torpedoes to defend against a PLA assault.

Why it matters

The lessons from the U.S. actions against Maduro and Iran are crucial for both China and Taiwan as they navigate an increasingly tense geopolitical landscape. For China, the operations demonstrate the capabilities of the U.S. military and the potential consequences of underestimating an adversary. For Taiwan, the lessons highlight the importance of comprehensive defense preparations, including securing leadership, building a robust militia, and developing advanced military technologies to deter and defend against a potential Chinese invasion.

The details

Experts say that in their "hubris", Chinese leader Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin did not expect the re-election of former U.S. President Donald Trump, whose administration was able to capture Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro and destroy Iran's nuclear program. They argue that these events hold important lessons for both China and Taiwan. For Taiwan, the experts say the country must prepare for a potential Chinese invasion by securing the safety of its president and vice president, building a large militia force equipped with sniper rifles and anti-air/armor weapons, and developing long-range drones and torpedoes to sink a PLA invasion fleet. They warn that Taiwan cannot rely on air power and decapitation alone to deter an invasion, and must build comprehensive defense capabilities.

  • In 2023, at the height of their power projection, China's Xi Jinping and Russia's Vladimir Putin openly envisioned a future where they and their allies would dominate the world.
  • In March 2026, Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro was captured and is now cooling in the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, New York.
  • In March 2026, Iranian dictator Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his nuclear weapons program were destroyed.

The players

Donald Trump

The former President of the United States who was re-elected in 2024 and oversaw the capture of Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro and the destruction of Iran's nuclear program.

Xi Jinping

The current leader of China who, along with Russian President Vladimir Putin, openly envisioned a future where they and their allies would dominate the world.

Vladimir Putin

The former President of Russia who, along with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, openly envisioned a future where they and their allies would dominate the world.

Nicolas Maduro

The former dictator of Venezuela who was captured by the United States in 2026 and is now detained in Brooklyn, New York.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

The former Supreme Leader of Iran whose nuclear weapons program was destroyed by the United States and Israel in 2026.

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What they’re saying

“In their hubris, Xi and Putin likely did not expect the re-election of President Donald J. Trump, and most likely did not expect that two years later, in March 2026, their ally Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro would be cooling in the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, New York; their ally Iranian dictator Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his nuclear weapons program would be dust; and their ally Cuba would be on the verge of collapse and begging for negotiations with Trump.”

— Rick Fisher (The Taipei Times)

What’s next

Experts say Taiwan must quickly build a very large number of long-range loitering attack drones and autonomously guided torpedoes to defend against a potential Chinese invasion. They warn that Taiwan cannot rely on air power and decapitation alone, and must build comprehensive defense capabilities.

The takeaway

The lessons from the U.S. actions against Maduro and Iran highlight the importance of comprehensive defense preparations for Taiwan, including securing leadership, building a robust militia, and developing advanced military technologies to deter and defend against a potential Chinese invasion. Taiwan must learn from these events and take decisive action to bolster its defenses in the face of an increasingly assertive China.