UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan Odds and Predictions

Expert Kyle Marley reveals his UFC Fight Night best bets for the April 4 Las Vegas card on Paramount+

Apr. 3, 2026 at 1:38pm

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The main event of UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan features a lightweight matchup between tenth-ranked Renato Moicano and Chris Duncan, who has won four fights in a row. Duncan is the -192 favorite, while Moicano comes back at +160 in the latest UFC Fight Night odds. The co-main event is a women's strawweight bout between third-ranked Virna Jandiroba (+100) and seventh-ranked Tabitha Ricci (-120). SportsLine expert Kyle Marley, who has returned over $21,000 to $100 bettors since May 2018, has studied the card and revealed his top picks and best bets.

Why it matters

This UFC Fight Night event features several intriguing matchups, including the main event between Moicano and Duncan. Moicano is looking to bounce back from consecutive losses, while Duncan has won four straight fights. The co-main event between Jandiroba and Ricci is also an important strawweight bout. Bettors will be closely watching these fights and looking to cash in on Marley's expert predictions.

The details

In the main event, Moicano, 36, has a professional record of 20-7-1 with two wins by knockout, 10 by submission, and eight by decision. He is a one-time Fight of the Night and one-time Performance of the Night winner. Duncan, 32, is 15-2 in his career with seven wins by knockout, four by submission, and four by decision. He is also a one-time Fight of the Night and one-time Performance of the Night winner.

  • The preliminaries are set to begin at around 5 p.m. ET, with the main card at approximately 8 p.m. ET on Paramount+ on April 4, 2026.
  • Moicano is coming off back-to-back losses, including a unanimous decision defeat to Beneil Dariush on June 28, 2025.
  • Duncan has won four in a row, including a submission victory over Terrance McKinney at UFC 323 on Dec. 6, 2025.

The players

Renato Moicano

A 36-year-old fighter ranked 10th in the lightweight division, Moicano has a professional record of 20-7-1 with two wins by knockout, 10 by submission, and eight by decision. He is a one-time Fight of the Night and one-time Performance of the Night winner.

Chris Duncan

A 32-year-old fighter, Duncan has a professional record of 15-2 with seven wins by knockout, four by submission, and four by decision. He is also a one-time Fight of the Night and one-time Performance of the Night winner.

Virna Jandiroba

A third-ranked women's strawweight fighter with a professional record of 16-3.

Tabitha Ricci

A seventh-ranked women's strawweight fighter with a professional record of 9-3.

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What they’re saying

“Give me Delano here. I like him to be the better and faster striker. He is also going to be throwing higher volume. (Robert) Ruchala isn't a bad striker, but he should be looking to wrestle in this matchup. I don't think it will be enough, and I'll take Delano by TKO or UD.”

— Kyle Marley, SportsLine Expert

What’s next

The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.

The takeaway

This UFC Fight Night event features several intriguing matchups, including the main event between Moicano and Duncan. Bettors will be closely watching these fights and looking to cash in on Marley's expert predictions, which have returned over $21,000 to $100 bettors since May 2018.