Unseasonable Warmth Grips New Mexico

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Unseasonably warm and dry weather has moved into New Mexico, with above-average temperatures and breezy winds expected to continue through much of this week. The warm, dry conditions have increased fire threats across parts of the state. A storm system is expected to bring the potential for rain and mountain snow late next week, but the exact timing and extent of the precipitation is still uncertain.

Why it matters

New Mexico is prone to severe wildfires, and the combination of unseasonable warmth, dry air, and strong winds can create dangerous fire conditions. The state has seen a number of destructive wildfires in recent years, so the current weather pattern is raising concerns about the potential for new blazes to ignite and spread rapidly.

The details

Temperatures across New Mexico have been running well above average, with highs reaching into the 60s and 70s Fahrenheit even in the typically cooler winter months. The warm, dry air has also led to breezy winds, which can quickly spread any fires that start. Weather models indicate this pattern will continue through much of this week, with the potential for an increase in precipitation late next week, though the timing and amount of rain and snow is still uncertain.

• Unseasonable warmth and dry conditions have been present across New Mexico since the start of February 2026.
• Winds are expected to strengthen through Wednesday, February 12, 2026, leading to breezier conditions statewide.
• A new storm system is forecast to arrive in New Mexico late next week, with the potential for increased precipitation beginning on Friday, February 21, 2026.

What’s next

Weather forecasters will continue to monitor the situation and provide updates on the potential for precipitation and any changes to the fire threat as the week progresses.