Iran Conflict Sparks Renewed Push for Renewable Energy

Experts see opportunity for countries to prioritize energy independence through domestic clean power sources

Published on Mar. 9, 2026

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The ongoing conflict involving Iran is sending shockwaves through global energy markets, but a surprising outcome may be emerging: a renewed push for energy independence through domestically sourced renewable energy. While past crises have often resulted in a temporary shift to other fossil fuels, experts suggest the current situation could be different, potentially accelerating the transition to cleaner energy sources.

Why it matters

The war in Iran is highlighting the vulnerabilities of relying on a few concentrated regions for fossil fuel supply, leading countries to prioritize reliable access to energy over the cheapest possible price. This shift towards energy security could motivate nations to overcome domestic opposition to renewable energy policies, potentially achieving emissions reduction unilaterally rather than through global agreements.

The details

Experts note that the disruption of fossil fuel shipments due to the conflict could spur investment in renewable energy, not just for environmental reasons, but for the stability it offers. However, the path to a renewable future isn't guaranteed, as past crises have shown the potential for setbacks and the temptation to revert to familiar, albeit polluting, energy sources.

  • The ongoing conflict involving Iran began in 2026.
  • The recent COP30 climate conference in Brazil took place in 2026.

The players

Jason Bordoff

A professor at Columbia University and former energy adviser to President Obama.

Meghan O'Sullivan

A professor at Harvard University and former deputy national security adviser for Iraq and Afghanistan.

Michael Oppenheimer

A professor of geosciences and international affairs at Princeton University.

Caroline Baxter

A former official at the U.S. Department of Defense.

Neta Crawford

A professor at Brown University and co-founder of the Costs of War project.

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What they’re saying

“The old antidote of integrating into well-functioning, interconnected global markets still provides benefits, but it may offer less protection as markets themselves fragment and energy is weaponized in new ways.”

— Jason Bordoff, Professor, Columbia University (Foreign Affairs)

“For at least another five years and maybe longer, emissions reduction will in fact be dealt with largely unilaterally.”

— Michael Oppenheimer, Professor, Princeton University (N/A)

“I think there is an opportunity...for countries to really turn inward and try to power themselves in a way that cuts off their dependence on other nations for that source.”

— Caroline Baxter, Former U.S. Department of Defense official (N/A)

“The consequences of war on emissions will far exceed any incremental offset in emissions due to increased enthusiasm for a green transition.”

— Neta Crawford, Co-founder, Costs of War project (N/A)

What’s next

Experts warn that China and India, already major carbon emitters, could also turn to increased coal consumption in response to the crisis, highlighting the need for sustained commitment to renewable energy even in the face of geopolitical instability.

The takeaway

The Iran conflict presents a unique opportunity for countries to prioritize energy independence and accelerate the transition to renewable energy sources, reducing their reliance on fossil fuels and increasing their resilience to geopolitical shocks.