Warmer-Than-Normal Temps On The Way For Minnesota

NOAA’s 8–14 day outlook shows a strong signal for above-normal temperatures across Minnesota into mid-February.

Feb. 2, 2026 at 8:23pm

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s latest 8–14 day temperature outlook, much of Minnesota is likely to see above-normal temperatures from Feb. 10 through Feb. 16. The strongest signal for warmth stretches across the Central Plains into the Upper Midwest, including the Twin Cities metro.

Why it matters

After a cold start to the week, the Twin Cities are expected to see temperatures climb into the 30s later this week and potentially approach the upper 30s by Thursday. This milder trend lines up with the longer-range outlook showing warmth lingering into mid-month, providing a much-needed February thaw for Minnesotans.

The details

While winter cold will not disappear entirely, forecasters say the broader pattern favors fewer prolonged cold snaps than are typical for early to mid-February. Instead, temperatures are more likely to run above seasonal averages during the period.

  • The 8–14 day temperature outlook covers the period from February 10 to February 16.
  • Temperatures are expected to warm up later this week, with highs climbing into the 30s and potentially approaching the upper 30s by Thursday.

The players

NOAA

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, a scientific agency within the United States Department of Commerce that focuses on the conditions of the oceans, major waterways, and the atmosphere.

National Weather Service

The National Weather Service, a scientific agency within NOAA that is tasked with providing weather forecasts and warnings for the United States.

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What’s next

The National Weather Service will continue to monitor the weather patterns and provide updated forecasts as the warmer-than-normal temperatures develop in the coming weeks.

The takeaway

This forecast for a February thaw in Minnesota provides a welcome respite from the typical midwinter cold, offering residents a chance to enjoy some milder weather in the weeks ahead.