MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Monday, April 13

Gunnar Henderson and Jose Caballero offer value in home run prop bets on Monday

Apr. 13, 2026 at 3:08pm

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An abstract, expressionist painting using rapid, neon-colored brushstrokes to depict the powerful motion and energy of a baseball player swinging a bat and hitting a home run.The explosive energy and power of a home run swing captured in a vibrant expressionist painting.Baltimore Today

Baseball writer Josh Inglis is targeting some contact-prone starting pitchers for home run prop bets on Monday, April 13. Gunnar Henderson of the Baltimore Orioles and Jose Caballero of the New York Yankees are highlighted as strong options to go deep, with favorable matchups and hitting environments.

Why it matters

Home run prop bets can be a lucrative way for baseball fans to engage with the game, and identifying the right players in the right situations is key to finding value. This article provides expert analysis and predictions to help readers make informed wagers on Monday's MLB action.

The details

Inglis is highlighting Gunnar Henderson (+440) of the Baltimore Orioles as his top home run prop pick for Monday. Henderson faces Diamondbacks pitcher Ryne Nelson, who has struggled with home runs early this season. The Orioles' home park also ranks as the third-best for home runs. Inglis also likes Jose Caballero (+1040) of the Yankees to go deep against Angels lefty Yusei Kikuchi, who has allowed a high rate of hard-hit balls.

  • The Orioles and Diamondbacks game starts at 6:35 p.m. ET.
  • The Yankees and Angels game starts at 7:05 p.m. ET.

The players

Gunnar Henderson

A young slugger for the Baltimore Orioles who is off to a strong power start this season, leading the league in home runs.

Jose Caballero

The New York Yankees' shortstop who is looking to showcase his power before Anthony Volpe returns from injury.

Ryne Nelson

The Arizona Diamondbacks' right-handed starting pitcher who has struggled with home runs early this season.

Yusei Kikuchi

The Los Angeles Angels' left-handed starting pitcher who has allowed a high rate of hard-hit balls this year.

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What they’re saying

“Gunnar Henderson is off to a strong power start with six home runs, among the league leaders. While the average is down, the quality of contact is there, with nine of his 15 hits going for extra bases.”

— Josh Inglis, Baseball Writer

“Jose Caballero might not have much time left with the club, as Anthony Volpe is beginning his rehab assignment tomorrow. Still, he has a great opportunity to showcase tonight at Yankee Stadium with 16-mph winds blowing out and a matchup vs. Yusei Kikuchi.”

— Josh Inglis, Baseball Writer

What’s next

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The takeaway

Home run prop bets can be a lucrative way for baseball fans to engage with the game, and identifying the right players in the right situations is key to finding value. This article provides expert analysis and predictions to help readers make informed wagers on Monday's MLB action.