Severe Weather Threat Looms Over Maryland on Monday

Parts of the state face a rare level 4 severe weather risk, including a 10-15% chance of tornadoes.

Mar. 16, 2026 at 3:03am

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The National Weather Service has issued a rare level 4 (out of 5) severe weather risk for parts of Maryland on Monday, with the potential for damaging winds, hail, and even tornadoes. Meteorologists warn that the severe weather threat will be highest in the afternoon and evening hours, with storms possible from around 10 a.m. to 7 p.m. across the state.

Why it matters

This level of severe weather is highly unusual for Maryland, which typically sees less than a 5% chance of tornadoes. The heightened risk underscores the need for residents to be prepared and vigilant, as the storms could cause significant damage and disruption to daily life.

The details

According to the weather service, much of Central Maryland will face a 10-15% chance of tornadoes developing. While this doesn't mean a tornado is guaranteed, it is a fairly uncommon setup for the region. Damaging winds and large hail are also possible threats. Meteorologists advise residents to have a safety plan in place and to closely monitor weather alerts throughout the day.

  • The severe weather threat will be highest in the afternoon and evening hours, but storms are possible from around 10 a.m. to 7 p.m. across the state.
  • Temperatures are expected to drop sharply overnight, with lows in the 20s by Tuesday morning.

The players

WBAL-TV 11

The local NBC affiliate station serving the Baltimore metropolitan area, providing comprehensive weather coverage and safety information.

Tony Pann

A meteorologist at WBAL-TV 11 who has been tracking the severe weather threat and providing updates to the public.

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What they’re saying

“While damaging winds and tornadoes are possible for some areas in the Baltimore metro, it doesn't mean everyone is going to see that kind of weather for sure — but it's best to be prepared.”

— Tony Pann, Meteorologist (WBAL-TV 11)

What’s next

The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.

The takeaway

This severe weather event highlights the importance of Marylanders being prepared for the possibility of dangerous storms, including having a safety plan in place and closely monitoring weather alerts. The heightened tornado risk is a rare occurrence that underscores the need for residents to take the threat seriously and take appropriate precautions.