Another Sunday Snow Storm Approaches With More Model Support

Forecasters remain skeptical after last week's storm arrived earlier than expected

Published on Feb. 20, 2026

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A new winter storm system is expected to bring the potential for snow to the Baltimore region this Sunday, February 22nd. While the models are showing more support for a wintry event this time around, meteorologist Justin Berk is still cautious about the forecast, having been burned by last week's storm that arrived much sooner than anticipated.

Why it matters

Snowstorms during Presidents' Week in Baltimore are historically common, with 40% of the top 25 snowstorms in the city occurring within one week of this time period. This makes any potential for snow in late February a noteworthy event that the community should take seriously.

The details

The storm system is expected to move onshore near San Francisco on Thursday before tracking towards the East Coast. The Canadian model has been consistently showing a more significant snow event, with a potential for heavy snowfall, while the European model has been more conservative in its projections. Berk is hesitant to fully endorse any specific snow totals this far out, as he does not typically support forecasts more than 3 days in advance due to the uncertainty involved.

  • The storm system is expected to reach the California coast near San Francisco on Thursday, February 20th.
  • The storm is then forecast to track towards the East Coast, potentially bringing snow to the Baltimore region on Sunday, February 22nd.

The players

Justin Berk

A meteorologist who runs the justinweather.com website and has been closely tracking the potential for a winter storm in the Baltimore region.

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What they’re saying

“I DO NOT endorse snow forecasts more than 3 days away. Below I will show the wide spread for academic purposes. Please know that I think we should toss the extremes and can maybe look towards the middle. But I still have low confidence in the model performance after last week's fail.”

— Justin Berk, Meteorologist (justinweather.com)

What’s next

The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.

The takeaway

This case highlights growing concerns in the community about repeat offenders released on bail, raising questions about bail reform, public safety on SF streets, and if any special laws to govern autonomous vehicles in residential and commercial areas.