Quiet Spring Flood Season Expected in Midwest

National Weather Service forecasts below-normal flood risk along Mississippi River

Mar. 19, 2026 at 3:29pm

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According to the National Weather Service office in the Quad Cities, the Midwest region is facing a below-normal risk of flooding through early summer. Dry conditions and limited snowpack are cited as key factors behind the reduced flood threat, along with ongoing drought and below-normal stream flows.

Why it matters

Flood season is a major concern for communities along the Mississippi River, which can see significant property damage and disruptions when water levels rise. The NWS outlook provides an early indication that this year's spring flood risk appears relatively low compared to historical averages.

The details

In its final Spring Flood Outlook issued on March 12, the NWS says widespread flooding is not expected across eastern Iowa, including areas along the Mississippi River. For river communities like Burlington, Iowa, Keokuk, Iowa, and Fort Madison, Iowa, the Mississippi River currently has less than a 50 percent chance of reaching flood stage this spring.

  • The NWS issued its final Spring Flood Outlook on March 12, 2026.
  • The forecast covers the spring flood season through early summer 2026.

The players

National Weather Service

The National Weather Service is the primary source of weather data, forecasts and warnings for the United States.

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What’s next

Forecasters caution that the flood risk is not zero and could change depending on future weather conditions.

The takeaway

This year's spring flood outlook for the Midwest provides some relief for communities along the Mississippi River, which have faced significant flooding in recent years. However, the situation remains fluid and residents should continue to monitor weather conditions.