Sunny Saturday in Tampa, Storms Possible Sunday Night

Warm and dry conditions expected for Saturday, but a line of showers and thunderstorms could bring damaging winds on Sunday.

Published on Feb. 14, 2026

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Tampa is set to enjoy a sunny and warm Saturday with highs around 81°F, but the weather is expected to turn more active on Sunday. A strong disturbance and approaching cold front are forecast to bring a line of showers and thunderstorms to the area late Sunday into Sunday night, with some of the storms potentially producing damaging wind gusts, especially north of Tampa. Forecasters have also warned of hazardous marine conditions and the possibility of minor coastal flooding north of Hernando Beach around high tide on Sunday night.

Why it matters

The contrast between the pleasant Saturday conditions and the potential for severe weather on Sunday highlights the dynamic and changeable nature of Tampa's weather. Residents and visitors will need to stay vigilant and prepared for the shift in conditions, especially those with outdoor plans on Sunday night.

The details

Saturday morning in Tampa will start off clear and cool, with temperatures around 55°F at the airport. But the sunshine will warm things up, with highs expected to reach the upper 70s to around 81°F. Skies should remain mostly sunny through the afternoon, with a light east breeze keeping the day comfortable. However, patchy fog is likely to redevelop after midnight, and a thicker band of sea fog could form over the northern and central coastal waters Saturday night as warm, moist air slides over cooler shelf waters.

  • Saturday morning temperatures around 55°F at Tampa International Airport.
  • Saturday afternoon highs around 80-81°F.
  • Patchy fog likely to redevelop after midnight on Saturday.
  • Line of showers and thunderstorms expected late Sunday into Sunday night, February 15, 2026.
  • Potential for damaging wind gusts, especially north of Tampa, on Sunday night.

The players

National Weather Service Tampa Bay

The local office of the National Weather Service that provides forecasts and warnings for the Tampa Bay area.

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What they’re saying

“Some of those storms could produce damaging wind gusts, especially north of Tampa.”

— National Weather Service Tampa Bay (hoodline.com)

“Forecasters at the National Weather Service Tampa Bay highlight a slight risk for severe thunderstorms in northern portions of the area and caution that hazardous marine conditions are possible, along with minor coastal flooding north of Hernando Beach that could push water levels to about two feet above the usual high-water mark around high tide Sunday night.”

— National Weather Service Tampa Bay (hoodline.com)

What’s next

If you have Sunday night plans, it is worth scouting out nearby sturdy shelter and keeping a close eye on radar for fast-moving downpours and gusty winds. Boaters should consider delaying nonessential trips and make sure loose items are secured onshore, while drivers should slow down for standing water and give themselves extra time to get where they are going.

The takeaway

The contrasting weather conditions between Saturday's sunny skies and Sunday's potential for severe storms underscores the importance of Tampa residents and visitors staying informed and prepared for rapidly changing weather patterns. While Saturday promises ideal conditions for outdoor activities, Sunday will require vigilance and caution to ensure safety.