Democrats Secure Stunning Victories in Florida Special Elections

Wins in Republican-leaning districts signal voter shift ahead of midterms

Mar. 25, 2026 at 8:35am

Democrats have won two special election victories in Florida, flipping a Republican-held state House district that includes Mar-a-Lago and narrowly winning a state Senate seat in a Tampa-area district that favored Republicans. The results represent major upsets and come amid a series of Democratic overperformances in special and state elections across the country since former President Trump returned to the White House.

Why it matters

These Democratic wins in traditionally Republican-leaning districts in Florida signal a potential shift in voter sentiment ahead of the 2024 midterm elections, where control of Congress is at stake. The results could embolden Democrats and worry Republicans as they prepare for a challenging electoral landscape.

The details

In the state House race, Democrat Emily Gregory, a small business owner, defeated the Republican candidate in Florida's 87th District, which includes former President Trump's Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach County. This was a district that Trump carried by double digits in the 2024 presidential election. In the state Senate race, Democrat Brian Nathan narrowly defeated the Republican opponent in District 14, a Tampa-area seat that the GOP had previously held. Registered Republicans outnumber Democrats by more than 22,000 in this district.

  • The special elections were held on Tuesday, March 25, 2026.
  • Florida law requires recounts when the margin of final results is within half a percentage point.

The players

Emily Gregory

A Democrat and small business owner who won the special election for Florida's 87th House District.

Brian Nathan

A Democrat who declared victory in the special election for Florida's Senate District 14.

Josie Tomkow

The Republican opponent of Brian Nathan in the Senate District 14 race.

Jay Collins

The former Republican state senator whose seat was up for grabs in District 14.

Nikki Fried

The chair of the Florida Democratic Party, who called the Senate District 14 result a "shocking victory."

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What they’re saying

“Shocking victory”

— Nikki Fried, Florida Democratic Party Chair

What’s next

Florida law requires recounts when the margin of final results is within half a percentage point, so the Senate District 14 race may be subject to a recount.

The takeaway

These Democratic wins in traditionally Republican-leaning districts in Florida signal a potential shift in voter sentiment ahead of the 2024 midterm elections, where control of Congress is at stake. The results could embolden Democrats and worry Republicans as they prepare for a challenging electoral landscape.