UFC Predictions: Murzakanov Favored Over Costa in Co-Main Event

Sports betting expert Jeff Fox shares his top UFC pick for the April 11th event in Miami.

Apr. 11, 2026 at 2:38am

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A cubist, geometric painting depicting the dynamic movements and energy of a UFC fight, with sharp, overlapping planes of vibrant red, blue, and yellow colors.The fractured, geometric clash between rising light heavyweight contender Azamat Murzakanov and former title challenger Paulo Costa promises fireworks at UFC 327.Today in Miami

Sports betting expert Jeff Fox is looking to bounce back from a recent slump with his best bet for the UFC event on April 11th in Miami. Fox is picking UFC light heavyweight Azamat Murzakanov to defeat Paulo Costa in the co-main event, despite Murzakanov's odds moving from -170 to -200 due to betting public interest.

Why it matters

UFC fights are a major draw for sports bettors, and expert predictions can sway the odds and influence how people place their wagers. Fox's track record of 62-38 (62%) on best bets this year makes his pick for the Murzakanov-Costa fight an important data point for fans looking to make informed bets.

The details

Fox believes Murzakanov, who is 16-0 with 12 knockouts and a submission, will be able to batter the struggling Costa, who has looked uninterested in recent fights. Even at the current -200 odds, Fox thinks Murzakanov is the smart pick to win, potentially by knockout or TKO.

  • The UFC 327 event takes place on Saturday, April 11th, 2026.
  • The co-main event featuring Murzakanov vs. Costa is scheduled for a 5:30 PM EST start time.

The players

Azamat Murzakanov

A UFC light heavyweight fighter with a perfect 16-0 professional record, including 12 knockouts and 1 submission win.

Paulo Costa

A UFC middleweight fighter who has struggled with inconsistency and lack of interest in recent fights.

Jeff Fox

A sports betting expert with a 62-38 (62%) record on best bets so far in 2026.

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What they’re saying

“Even a top-of-his-game Costa would have issues getting past the Russian.”

— Jeff Fox, Sports Betting Expert

What’s next

Bettors will be watching to see if Murzakanov can live up to the hype and defeat Costa as the heavy favorite in the co-main event of UFC 327 on April 11th.

The takeaway

This pick from sports betting expert Jeff Fox highlights the importance of fighter form and momentum when making UFC predictions, as the once-dominant Costa appears to have lost his edge while the undefeated Murzakanov is on a roll with three straight knockout wins.