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North Alabama vs. Florida Gulf Coast: ASUN Tournament First-Round Matchup
SportsLine's model reveals its best bets for the 2026 Atlantic Sun Tournament first-round game
Published on Mar. 4, 2026
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The 12th-seeded North Alabama Lions will battle the fifth-seeded Florida Gulf Coast Eagles in the first round of the 2026 Atlantic Sun Tournament on Wednesday afternoon. North Alabama is coming off a 75-63 loss at West Georgia, while Florida Gulf Coast dropped a 78-63 decision at Stetson. The all-time series between the two teams is tied 8-8, but FGCU won both regular season meetings, including 72-64 on Jan. 29.
Why it matters
This first-round matchup in the ASUN Tournament features two teams looking to advance and potentially make a deep run in the conference tournament. North Alabama reached the ASUN Championship Game last year, while Florida Gulf Coast has won three ASUN Tournament titles, the last coming in 2017.
The details
Florida Gulf Coast is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest odds, and the over/under for total points scored is set at 144.5. The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated this game 10,000 times and is going Over on the total, projecting 149 combined points as the Over clears in 65% of simulations. The model also has a strong pick on the spread that can be found at SportsLine.
- The game is set to tip off at 2:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2026.
- North Alabama lost to West Georgia 75-63 on Saturday, March 1, 2026.
- Florida Gulf Coast lost to Stetson 78-63 on Saturday, March 1, 2026.
The players
Donte Bacchus
A North Alabama player projected to score 15 points in the game.
J.R. Konieczny
A Florida Gulf Coast player projected to score 18.1 points in the game.
What’s next
The winner of this first-round matchup will advance to the quarterfinals of the 2026 Atlantic Sun Tournament.
The takeaway
This ASUN Tournament first-round game features two teams looking to make a postseason run, with Florida Gulf Coast coming in as the favorite but North Alabama hoping to pull off the upset. The SportsLine Projection Model's strong track record suggests bettors should pay close attention to its picks for this intriguing matchup.
