Three Weeks Into Iran Conflict, Situation Escalates Beyond Trump's Control

Surging oil prices, international isolation, and potential troop deployments challenge initial promises of a 'short excursion'.

Mar. 22, 2026 at 12:34am

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Three weeks into the conflict with Iran, the situation appears to be escalating beyond the control of US President Donald Trump. Surging global energy prices, international isolation, and the prospect of further troop deployments are challenging his initial promise of a 'short excursion.' The crisis highlights the limits of power – diplomatic, military, and political – for the current administration.

Why it matters

The conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global oil supplies, has become a central point of contention. Iran is effectively choking off Gulf oil and gas shipments, sending shockwaves through the global economy. The refusal of NATO and other allies to assist in securing the strait has drawn sharp criticism from President Trump, underscoring a growing rift between the US and its traditional allies.

The details

Despite White House claims of 'undisputed military success,' the conflict continues to escalate. The US military is deploying thousands of additional Marines and sailors to the Middle East, though no decision has been made to deploy troops into Iran itself. Trump is now at a crossroads, with several potential paths forward, including intensifying the US offensive or attempting to withdraw and leave Gulf allies to contend with a hostile Iran.

  • The conflict with Iran began three weeks ago.
  • On Friday, oil and gas prices retreated after Thursday's spikes, with Brent crude dropping to $108 a barrel, but remain elevated due to the ongoing disruption.

The players

Donald Trump

The current President of the United States.

NATO

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization, a military alliance of 30 European and North American countries.

Iran

A country in the Middle East that is in conflict with the United States.

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What they’re saying

“We must not let individuals continue to damage private property in San Francisco.”

— Robert Jenkins, San Francisco resident

“Fifty years is such an accomplishment in San Francisco, especially with the way the city has changed over the years.”

— Gordon Edgar, grocery employee

What’s next

The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.

The takeaway

This case highlights growing concerns in the community about repeat offenders released on bail, raising questions about bail reform, public safety on SF streets, and if any special laws to govern autonomous vehicles in residential and commercial areas.