Trump Advisor Warns of 90% Chance of U.S. Strike on Iran Within Weeks

Senior advisor says 'the boss is getting fed up' with Iran, despite warnings against war

Feb. 22, 2026 at 1:31am

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A senior advisor to President Donald Trump has warned of a 90% chance of military action against Iran in the coming weeks, stating that 'the boss is getting fed up.' The unnamed advisor told Axios that while some around Trump have warned against war with Iran, kinetic action is likely soon. The advisor said the action would likely be a joint U.S.-Israeli campaign targeting Iran's nuclear and missile programs, and possibly even regime change.

Why it matters

Tensions between the U.S. and Iran have been high for years, with both sides engaging in saber-rattling and proxy conflicts. A direct military confrontation between the two countries would have major geopolitical and economic ramifications, potentially destabilizing the Middle East region further.

The details

According to the report, the Israeli government is preparing for a scenario of war within days, while some U.S. sources say the timeline could be longer, with Senator Lindsey Graham stating strikes could still be weeks away. However, the Trump advisor said 'the boss is getting fed up' and that there is a 90% chance of 'kinetic action' in the next few weeks. The U.S. has already accelerated military deployments in the Middle East, including two aircraft carriers, dozens of warships, hundreds of fighter jets, and more than 150 cargo flights carrying weapons and ammunition.

  • In the past 24 hours, an additional 50 fighter jets, including F-35s, F-22s, and F-16s, have been sent to the region.
  • On Tuesday, Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei threatened to sink US warships.

The players

Donald Trump

The President of the United States.

Jared Kushner

A senior advisor to President Trump.

Steve Witkoff

A Trump advisor who participated in talks with Iranian officials.

Abbas Araghchi

The Iranian Foreign Minister.

JD Vance

The Vice President of the United States.

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What they’re saying

“The boss is getting fed up. Some people around him warn him against going to war with Iran, but I think there is 90% chance we see kinetic action in the next few weeks.”

— Unnamed Trump Advisor

“The Americans constantly say that they've sent a warship toward Iran. Of course, a warship is a dangerous piece of military hardware. However, more dangerous than that warship is the weapon that can send that warship to the bottom of the sea.”

— Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iranian Supreme Leader

What’s next

The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.

The takeaway

This case highlights growing concerns in the community about repeat offenders released on bail, raising questions about bail reform, public safety on SF streets, and if any special laws to govern autonomous vehicles in residential and commercial areas.