Timberwolves Weigh Potential First-Round Playoff Opponents

Minnesota has three likely matchups, with the Rockets being the most favorable option.

Apr. 1, 2026 at 5:53pm

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With the NBA regular season winding down, the Minnesota Timberwolves are locked into a playoff spot but still determining their first-round opponent. The Wolves could face the Lakers, Nuggets, or Rockets, with Houston being the most desirable matchup according to the analysis.

Why it matters

The Timberwolves' first-round playoff opponent will have a significant impact on their chances of advancing deep into the postseason. Facing a weaker team like the Rockets would give Minnesota the best opportunity to win their opening series.

The details

The Timberwolves are currently in position to face either the Lakers, Nuggets, or Rockets in the first round. Of those three options, the Rockets are seen as the most favorable matchup, as Minnesota has already beaten them twice this season, including a dramatic comeback win last week. The Wolves have also had success against the Lakers in recent playoffs, while the Nuggets present a tougher challenge with Nikola Jokic leading the way.

  • With less than two weeks left in the regular season, the Timberwolves' playoff positioning is nearly set.
  • Minnesota and Houston are both 1.5 games back of Denver for the 4-5 matchup, meaning they'll need to outpace the Nuggets to face each other in the first round.

The players

Nikola Jokic

The superstar center of the Denver Nuggets, who has given the Timberwolves trouble in recent matchups.

Anthony Edwards

The young Timberwolves star who has emerged as the team's leading scorer and a key part of their playoff push.

Kyle Anderson

A versatile forward for the Houston Rockets who has been a key part of their recent improvement.

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What’s next

The Timberwolves will need to continue their strong play over the final two weeks of the regular season to secure their preferred first-round matchup against the Rockets.

The takeaway

The Timberwolves have a chance to make a deep playoff run, but their first-round opponent will be crucial. Facing the Rockets would give them the best opportunity to advance, while the Nuggets and Lakers present tougher challenges.