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Santa Monica Today
By the People, for the People
Powerful Pacific Storms to Slam Southern California Next Week
Heavy rain, strong winds, and mountain snow forecast from Monday through Thursday
Published on Feb. 16, 2026
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A series of potent Pacific storm systems influenced by cold Siberian air and a strong jet stream is set to bring widespread heavy rain, gusty winds, potential thunderstorms, and mountain snow to Southern California starting late Sunday, February 15, and continuing through much of next week. Forecasters warn of rainfall totals between 3.2 to 6.0 inches, with higher amounts up to 8.0 inches possible, along with damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph that could lead to power outages, downed trees, urban flooding, and hazardous conditions.
Why it matters
The upcoming storm pattern marks a significant shift to more active, colder conditions following a mild Valentine's Day weekend in Southern California. The heavy rainfall could lead to urban flooding, ponding on streets, and elevated risks of debris flows and mudslides in recent wildfire burn scar areas, posing threats to coastal communities like Santa Monica.
The details
The first system arrives Sunday night into Monday, delivering the heaviest widespread rain, strong winds, thunderstorms, dangerous surf, and a slight chance of weak tornadoes. Subsequent systems follow Tuesday into Wednesday and possibly Thursday, bringing additional rain, dropping snow levels, and more mountain snow accumulations of up to a couple of feet in higher elevations. Residents are urged to secure outdoor items, prepare for potential outages, monitor local alerts, and avoid driving through flooded areas.
- The first storm system arrives Sunday night into Monday, February 16.
- Additional systems are expected Tuesday into Wednesday and possibly Thursday.
The players
Jason Farhang
An independent meteorologist who provided a detailed forecast and analysis of the upcoming storm pattern.
National Weather Service Los Angeles
The local office of the National Weather Service that has issued official forecasts and warnings for the upcoming storms.
What they’re saying
“We must prepare for a cold, blustery, and wet week ahead.”
— Jason Farhang, Meteorologist (smobserved.com)
What’s next
The Santa Monica Observer will continue tracking developments as models refine closer to the event. Residents should stay tuned to the National Weather Service, local broadcasters, and official county resources for the most current updates.
The takeaway
The upcoming series of powerful Pacific storms is expected to bring significant impacts to Southern California, including heavy rain, strong winds, and mountain snow, posing risks of urban flooding, power outages, and hazardous travel conditions. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions and stay informed on the latest weather developments.
