Mark Wahlberg Super Bowl Prediction Market Resolved at "No"

The $24 million bet on whether the actor would attend the game was settled with a "no" result.

Published on Feb. 12, 2026

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A $24 million prediction market on whether actor Mark Wahlberg would attend Super Bowl LX in Santa Clara, California was resolved with a "no" outcome, meaning Wahlberg did not show up to the game as the most popular wager had suggested.

Why it matters

The large amount of money bet on Wahlberg's attendance highlights the growing popularity of prediction markets, which allow people to wager on the outcomes of future events. This particular market generated significant interest, likely due to Wahlberg's status as a well-known Patriots fan.

The details

According to reports, the money bet on Wahlberg showing up exceeded the wagers on 31 other actors and politicians combined. However, Wahlberg was ultimately a no-show at the game, leaving bettors who wagered on his attendance to lose their money.

  • Super Bowl LX took place on Sunday, February 9, 2026 in Santa Clara, California.

The players

Mark Wahlberg

A popular American actor and producer, known for his roles in films like "The Departed" and "Transformers". Wahlberg is also a well-known fan of the New England Patriots.

Kalshi

An online prediction market platform where the $24 million wager on Wahlberg's Super Bowl attendance was placed.

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What they’re saying

“The mystery has been solved.”

— David Purdum, ESPN.com reporter (ESPN.com)

The takeaway

This case highlights the growing popularity and influence of prediction markets, which allow people to bet on the outcomes of future events. While Wahlberg's non-attendance may have disappointed some bettors, the large amount of money wagered on his presence underscores his enduring star power and the public's fascination with celebrity behavior.