California's 2026 Governor Race Defies Expectations

Top-two primary system creates possibility of two Republicans on November ballot

Apr. 8, 2026 at 11:08pm

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A dynamic, abstract painting featuring a California state capitol building or other political structure repeated in overlapping, fractured, geometric waves of vibrant blue, red, and gold colors, conveying the turbulent nature of the 2026 gubernatorial race.The unpredictable dynamics of California's 2026 gubernatorial race are captured in a fractured, kinetic painting that reflects the state's political divisions.San Jose Today

California's unique top-two primary system has led to a surprising dynamic in the 2026 gubernatorial race, with two Republican candidates, Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco, currently polling the highest despite Democrats outspending them. Meanwhile, controversies and accusations of racism have also marked the campaign.

Why it matters

The race for California governor is being closely watched as it could result in the first Republican to lead the state in 16 years. The top-two primary system means the two highest vote-getters, regardless of party, will advance to the general election, creating the possibility of an all-Republican matchup.

The details

In the last credible poll from March 2026, Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco polled the highest at 17% and 16% respectively, while Democrats such as Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, and Tom Steyer remained closely grouped behind them despite significantly higher spending. Controversies have also dotted the race, including allegations of sexual misconduct against Swalwell and accusations of racism after the University of Southern California canceled a debate over the exclusion of candidates of color.

  • The California primary election is scheduled for June 2, 2026.
  • The general election will take place in November 2026.

The players

Steve Hilton

A Republican candidate for California governor who is currently polling among the top contenders.

Chad Bianco

A Republican candidate for California governor who is currently polling among the top contenders.

Eric Swalwell

A Democratic candidate for California governor who has faced allegations of inappropriate behavior with female staffers.

Katie Porter

A Democratic candidate for California governor who has seen her poll numbers slip after a contentious interview.

Tom Steyer

A Democratic candidate for California governor who is currently polling behind the top contenders.

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What they’re saying

“I have known and respected Steve Hilton, who is running for Governor of California, for many years. He is a truly fine man, one who has watched as this once great State has gone to Hell.”

— Donald Trump

“We are a minority-majority state, and the idea that the four candidates of color are not going to be on the stage to bring those perspectives, to really speak to those communities, is really not doing right by the voters.”

— Betty Yee, Democratic Candidate for California Governor

What’s next

The judge in the case will decide on Tuesday whether or not to allow Walker Reed Quinn out on bail.

The takeaway

California's unique top-two primary system has created an unpredictable and contentious gubernatorial race, with the possibility of two Republicans advancing to the general election. Controversies and accusations have also marked the campaign, underscoring the deep political divisions in the state.