New Polls Show Tight Race for California Governor

East Bay Congressman Eric Swalwell leads crowded field ahead of primary

Mar. 12, 2026 at 5:05pm

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With the California primary just three months away, new polling data shows a tight race for the governor's seat. East Bay Congressman Eric Swalwell leads the crowded field with 17% support from likely voters, followed by Steve Hilton at 13% and Tom Steyer and Cad Bianco tied for third at 11% each.

Why it matters

The California governor's race is a closely watched contest that could have major implications for the state's political landscape. As the most populous state in the country, the outcome of this election will reverberate nationally.

The details

The new Merson College poll shows Swalwell in the lead, with Hilton, Steyer, and Bianco trailing behind. This crowded field reflects the competitive nature of the race, with several high-profile candidates vying for the governorship.

  • The California primary election is less than three months away.

The players

Eric Swalwell

East Bay Congressman leading the crowded field of candidates for California governor.

Steve Hilton

Candidate for California governor polling in second place.

Tom Steyer

Candidate for California governor tied for third place in the polls.

Cad Bianco

Candidate for California governor tied for third place in the polls.

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The takeaway

With the California primary just around the corner, this crowded race for governor remains highly competitive, with several candidates vying for the top spot. The outcome of this election could have significant implications for the state and the nation.