Mets vs Giants Prediction, Picks, Prop Bets For April 04, 2026

Get expert insights, best bets, and key stats for the MLB matchup on April 04, 2026.

Apr. 4, 2026 at 5:52pm by Ben Kaplan

The San Francisco Giants have struggled mightily against right-handed pitching this season, posting a league-worst 55 wRC+ against RHP. Meanwhile, Mets starting pitcher Holmes has transitioned well to the rotation, posting a solid 3.53 ERA in 31 starts in 2025. The Mets may also be without star slugger Juan Soto, who left Friday's game with a right calf injury. With the pitcher-friendly Oracle Park as the setting, the Under has cashed in 5 of the Mets' last 7 games, a trend that is expected to continue.

Why it matters

This matchup between the Mets and Giants features two teams heading in opposite directions. The Giants' struggles against right-handed pitching and the potential absence of Soto give the Mets a clear advantage, while the pitcher-friendly confines of Oracle Park point to a low-scoring affair.

The details

The Giants have been the worst team in the league against right-handed pitching this season, posting a meager 55 wRC+. Mets starter Holmes had a strong 2025 campaign, making 31 starts with a 3.53 ERA thanks to an excellent barrel rate and ground ball rate. The Mets may also be without their star slugger Juan Soto, who left Friday's game with a right calf injury. With the game taking place at pitcher-friendly Oracle Park, the Under has cashed in 5 of the Mets' last 7 games, a trend that is expected to continue.

  • The Mets vs Giants matchup is scheduled for April 04, 2026.

The players

Juan Soto

A star slugger for the Mets who left Friday's game with a right calf injury.

Holmes

The Mets starting pitcher who transitioned well to the rotation in 2025, posting a 3.53 ERA in 31 starts.

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The takeaway

This matchup between the struggling Giants against right-handed pitching and the Mets' strong pitching staff, combined with the pitcher-friendly Oracle Park, points to a low-scoring affair. The Mets' potential absence of star slugger Juan Soto further reinforces the likelihood of the Under cashing.