Metaculus Launches FutureEval to Track AI Forecasting Accuracy

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Metaculus, a forecasting platform and public benefit corporation, has launched a new initiative called FutureEval to track the accuracy of AI systems in making predictions about the future. The goal is to increase transparency and accountability in the rapidly growing field of AI forecasting.

Why it matters

As AI systems become more advanced and influential in areas like policy, finance, and technology, there is a growing need to understand their forecasting capabilities and limitations. FutureEval provides a centralized platform to evaluate AI predictions against actual outcomes, which can help identify biases and improve the reliability of AI-driven forecasts.

The details

FutureEval will collect predictions from various AI systems and compare them to real-world events and outcomes over time. The platform will generate detailed reports on the accuracy, biases, and other performance metrics of the AI forecasters. This data will be made publicly available to researchers, policymakers, and the general public to promote greater understanding and accountability in the AI forecasting field.

• Metaculus launched FutureEval on February 17, 2026.

What they’re saying

What’s next

Metaculus plans to continuously expand the FutureEval platform, adding more AI forecasting systems and tracking their performance over time. The company also aims to collaborate with researchers and policymakers to leverage the data and insights generated by FutureEval.