Giants Projected for Modest Gains in 2026 Season

Preseason analytics forecast little change in San Francisco's playoff hopes

Published on Feb. 11, 2026

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Despite some roster turnover, preseason projections from Baseball Prospectus and FanGraphs predict the San Francisco Giants will see only modest improvements in their win total for the 2026 MLB season, keeping them in contention for a playoff spot.

Why it matters

The Giants are coming off a 2025 season where they narrowly missed the playoffs, and fans are eager to see if the team can take the next step and return to the postseason. These early projections provide insight into how the team's offseason moves may impact their on-field performance.

The details

According to the projections, the Giants are expected to win between 87-90 games in 2026, a slight uptick from their 85-win campaign the previous year. While the team has made some roster changes, including the departure of a few key players, the analytics suggest the Giants' core group of talent will keep them competitive in the NL West division.

  • The 2026 MLB season is set to begin in April 2026.

The players

San Francisco Giants

A professional baseball team based in San Francisco, California, that competes in the National League West division of Major League Baseball.

Baseball Prospectus

A website that provides in-depth statistical analysis and projections for Major League Baseball teams and players.

FanGraphs

A website that offers advanced baseball analytics, statistics, and projections for MLB teams and players.

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What’s next

As the 2026 season approaches, fans will be closely watching the Giants' offseason moves and spring training performance to see if the team can exceed the modest projections and return to the playoffs.

The takeaway

The Giants' 2026 season is shaping up to be another competitive campaign, with preseason analytics forecasting the team to remain in playoff contention despite some roster changes. This suggests the organization has built a sustainable model of success that should keep them in the hunt for the postseason for the foreseeable future.