California Governor's Race Remains Tight as Primary Approaches

Poll Shows Hilton, Porter, Bianco Leading Crowded Field

Published on Feb. 28, 2026

Got story updates? Submit your updates here. ›

The race to succeed California Governor Gavin Newsom remains highly competitive, with a recent poll indicating a close contest among the leading candidates. Former Rep. Katie Porter, Rep. Eric Swalwell, and hedge fund founder Tom Steyer are leading among the Democrats, while conservative commentator Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco are at the forefront for the Republicans.

Why it matters

With nine Democrats competing for the governorship, concerns are rising that the vote could be divided, potentially allowing the two Republican candidates to advance to the general election. This dynamic could lead to an unexpected outcome in the primary election, as California has not had a Republican statewide officeholder since 2006.

The details

According to the Public Policy Institute of California poll, Hilton had the support of 14% of likely voters, Porter 13%, Bianco 12%, Swalwell 11%, and Steyer 10%. One in ten likely voters remain undecided. The two candidates receiving the most votes in the June primary will advance to the November general election. Voters' concerns about affordability are a major factor in the race, with nearly two-thirds of likely voters, and 78% of young voters, citing it as critical to their decision.

  • The primary election is scheduled for June 2026.
  • The general election will take place in November 2026.

The players

Katie Porter

Former U.S. Representative from California's 45th congressional district.

Eric Swalwell

U.S. Representative from California's 15th congressional district.

Tom Steyer

Hedge fund founder and former presidential candidate.

Steve Hilton

Conservative commentator and former advisor to British Prime Minister David Cameron.

Chad Bianco

Riverside County Sheriff.

Got photos? Submit your photos here. ›

What’s next

The two candidates receiving the most votes in the June 2026 primary will advance to the November 2026 general election.

The takeaway

The California governor's race remains highly competitive, with a crowded field of candidates and voter concerns about affordability playing a significant role. The primary election in June 2026 will be a crucial step in determining the state's next leader.