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Modesto Today
By the People, for the People
California Faces Affordable Housing Funding Shortfall
Thousands of affordable housing units are ready to build, but lack final funding
Published on Mar. 10, 2026
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California has an estimated 39,880 affordable housing units that are fully designed, legally approved, and backed with significant funding, but still lack the final layer of state subsidies needed to break ground. This 'bottleneck' represents an inconsistency in state policy, as lawmakers push for more affordable housing construction while the necessary public funding has run dry. Affordable housing developers are hopeful that a proposed $10 billion state housing bond on the 2026 ballot could provide the missing funds to unlock this pipeline of 'shovel-ready' projects.
Why it matters
The lack of affordable housing in California is a major crisis, with the state needing to build over 2.5 million new units by 2030, including 1 million for low-income residents. While regulatory barriers have eased, the primary obstacle now is securing the final public subsidies required to make these projects financially viable. Unlocking this pipeline of ready-to-build affordable housing could provide much-needed relief to California's housing-constrained communities.
The details
According to a report by Enterprise Community Partners, the 39,880 affordable units stuck in this 'financial purgatory' have already cleared major hurdles like zoning approval, community feedback, and local government support. Many have even secured partial funding from other state programs. However, they still lack the final $4.1 billion in state grants, loans, and tax credits needed to begin construction. Developers say the delays are compounding construction costs and making it harder to assemble the complex financial packages required for affordable housing projects.
- In 2025, a federal tax law change significantly boosted the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit program, making more federal funding available for affordable housing.
- California's last major affordable housing bond was approved by voters in 2018, but that funding has now been exhausted.
- Governor Newsom has proposed a record-breaking $10 billion affordable housing bond for the 2026 ballot, which could provide the missing funds if approved by voters.
The players
Enterprise Community Partners
A national nonprofit that funds, consults, and advocates for affordable housing, and co-authored the report estimating the affordable housing funding shortfall in California.
Justine Marcus
Policy director for Enterprise's Northern California office and co-author of the report on California's affordable housing backlog.
Betsy McGovern-Garcia
Vice president of Self-Help Enterprises, one of the non-profits behind the Morris Village affordable housing project in Modesto.
Nevada Merriman
Policy advocate for MidPen Housing, an affordable developer in San Mateo County, who previously led a team of affordable developers in Silicon Valley.
What they’re saying
“There's no exit route right now. It's a bottleneck.”
— Justine Marcus, Policy director, Enterprise Community Partners (sanjoseinside.com)
“We are optimistic this might be our round.”
— Betsy McGovern-Garcia, Vice president, Self-Help Enterprises (sanjoseinside.com)
“Should there be a source...there's a pipeline that is ready to go.”
— Nevada Merriman, Policy advocate, MidPen Housing (sanjoseinside.com)
What’s next
California lawmakers are considering a record-breaking $10 billion affordable housing bond for the 2026 ballot, which could provide the missing funds to unlock the pipeline of 'shovel-ready' affordable housing projects across the state.
The takeaway
This funding shortfall highlights the inconsistency in California's affordable housing policies - the state is mandating the construction of millions of new affordable units, but the necessary public subsidies have dried up, leaving thousands of ready-to-build projects stuck in limbo. Passing a major new housing bond could be a critical step to addressing this disconnect and accelerating the construction of badly needed affordable homes.

